NBA
Suns vs Cavaliers
Hot Suns meet a streaky Cavs squad in a razor-thin margin.

Phoenix Suns
Suns (19-13) VS Cavaliers (18-16)
December 31, 2025 | 3:30 p.m. ET | Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Cleveland Cavaliers

Moneyline Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers (-250): B
Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers have just snapped a two-game skid with a double-digit win over the Spurs, and with Evan Mobley now back in the lineup and Cleveland scoring around 120 points per night at home, their offensive ceiling in Rocket Arena remains higher than Phoenix’s even with the Suns riding a four-game surge behind Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and breakout guard Collin Gillespie. Phoenix’s wing depth is compromised with Jalen Green ruled out plus Grayson Allen doubtful and Ryan Dunn questionable, while Cleveland’s absences (Max Strus, Larry Nance Jr. and some two-way depth) hurt spacing but don’t undercut a core that still leans on Mitchell–Garland pick-and-roll and a Mobley–Jarrett Allen interior tandem. Booker has historically traded big lines with Mitchell in head-to-head spots, but the Cavs’ stronger overall net rating, home-court edge and slightly healthier core justify backing the expensive favorite on the moneyline, even though the price trims value and keeps this from an A-level play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 10:17
Over/Under Pick - Over 234.5 (-110): B-
Devin Booker and Donovan Mitchell headline two offenses that have been humming lately, with Cleveland averaging roughly 120 points per game on the season and closer to the high 120s over its last five, while Phoenix has jumped into the high teens in scoring during its four-game win streak on the back of heavy three-point volume and elite turnover creation that fuels transition. The Cavs’ defense has slipped toward the bottom third of the league in scoring allowed and is vulnerable on the perimeter without Max Strus and Larry Nance Jr., while Phoenix, despite much-improved effort metrics, still plays at a pace that invites extra possessions and gives up enough at the rim that Mobley and Allen should live in the paint. With the Suns’ trio of Booker, Brooks and Gillespie spacing the floor against a Cleveland group that bombs threes at a top-tier rate, late-game fouling and crunch-time shot-making on both sides tilt this toward a track meet that can creep past a lofty total, though the combination of decent Suns half-court defense and the high number still caps the confidence at a B-. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 10:17
Spread Pick - Phoenix Suns, +6 (-110): B+
Phoenix’s four-game winning streak, powered by Booker's on-ball gravity, Brooks’ two-way physicality and Gillespie’s secondary playmaking, makes this number feel generous given how consistently the Suns have hung around against quality opponents and how often this matchup has stayed competitive in recent years. Even with Green out and Allen/Dunn banged up, Phoenix’s depth of wings and bigs (Royce O’Neale, Mark Williams, Nick Richards) allows them to throw length at Mitchell and Garland while still weaponizing a league-leading steals rate that can shave a few Cavs possessions and generate easy run-outs. Cleveland’s recent form includes a blowout loss to Houston and only a one-game winning “streak” coming in, and with their own rotation thinned on the wing plus a reliance on hot three-point shooting, asking them not only to win but to clear multiple possessions against a Suns team that’s 7–3 against the Cavs over the last several years pushes me to grab the points and expect Phoenix to cover, even if Cleveland squeaks out the straight-up result. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 10:17
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