NBA

Trail Blazers vs Thunder

Will Portland’s late-surge magic survive Loud City’s tidal wave?

Portland Trail Blazers

Trail Blazers (14-19) VS Thunder (28-5)

December 31, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline Pick - Oklahoma City Thunder (-1014): A-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder bring a 2-game winning streak and a 28-5 overall mark into a building where they’ve already beaten Portland by 27 earlier this season and rank among the league’s most efficient home offenses. Portland has also won two straight, but they start this road trip without Jerami Grant, Jrue Holiday, Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle and Damian Lillard, leaving a huge talent and creation gap against the defending champs’ core of Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams. With Oklahoma City 26-5 straight up as a favorite this year and already 2-0 against the Blazers, the Thunder moneyline is extremely likely to cash, though the enormous juice drags the value down to an A- rather than a true A+. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 10:24
Over/Under Pick - Under 233.5 (-109): B
Portland rides a 2-game win streak into OKC, but with so many primary scorers sidelined and a short-handed rotation now leaning heavily on Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe and rookie bigs, their offense projects to dip on the road against an elite Thunder defense. Oklahoma City has recently won back-to-back home games by leaning on size and rim protection from Holmgren, and their two earlier meetings with the Blazers finished at 217 and 238 points, right around this total but with Portland healthier than they are now. A potential Thunder blowout, coupled with Portland’s lack of creators and OKC’s ability to squeeze pace when leading, points slightly toward the Under, though the Thunder’s explosive scoring ceiling keeps this to a B-grade edge rather than something stronger. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 10:24
Spread Pick - Portland Trail Blazers, +16 (-110): B-
Deni Avdija and the shorthanded Blazers are catching a massive +16 despite entering on a 2-game win streak and posting a solid 6-4 record against the spread as road underdogs, while the Thunder are just 16-15 ATS overall even as they sit 28-5 straight up. Oklahoma City has handled Portland twice already (by 27 at home and 8 on the road), and Jalen Williams has historically torched the Blazers with around 20+ points, 5 boards and 4+ assists per game, but the combination of Portland’s recent competitiveness and OKC’s tendency to prioritize wins over style points suggests some backdoor-cover potential in garbage time. With injuries gutting the Blazers’ top end, you’re betting more on volume minutes and late scoring from their young core than on true matchup upside, which makes Portland +16 a modest value play at B- rather than a confident hammer. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 10:24
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