NBA

Warriors vs Hornets

Curry’s homecoming history suggests Charlotte could ring in a rough New Year.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors (17-16) VS Hornets (11-21)

December 31, 2025 | 1:00 p.m. ET | Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC

Charlotte Hornets
Moneyline Pick - Golden State Warriors (-278): Grade B
Stephen Curry and the Warriors roll into Charlotte on a one-game winning streak and a positive point differential, facing a Hornets team that has dropped its last outing and sits several games under .500 with a negative margin despite going 5-5 over its past 10. With Golden State essentially at full star power—Curry and Jimmy Butler leading an offense around 115 points per night—while Charlotte’s front line is thinned by injuries to Ryan Kalkbrenner, Mason Plumlee and Grant Williams and potential limitations for Miles Bridges and Kon Knueppel, the talent and health gap is real. The Warriors have consistently handled the Hornets in recent seasons, including double-digit wins in both Charlotte and San Francisco, and with this game still shy of the halfway mark of the schedule, Golden State has more at stake in tightening its grip on a Western Conference play-in seed than Charlotte does from 12th in the East. Laying -278 on the moneyline isn’t cheap, but given the superior form, healthier rotation, and clear edge in high-leverage creators, Warriors straight up is the side, worthy of a Grade B for solid likelihood of cashing but modest monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:56.
Over/Under Pick - Under 233.5, (-110): Grade C+
LaMelo Ball’s playmaking and Brandon Miller’s recent scoring surge have helped Charlotte play roughly even ball over its last 10, with games averaging in the low 230s, while Curry, Butler and the Warriors have posted a similar total profile with slightly better defensive numbers and a stronger overall differential. The 233.5 total sits a touch above what these teams typically combine for based on season-long offensive and defensive efficiencies and their recent 10-game splits, and Charlotte’s uncertain frontcourt—multiple bigs on the injury report plus Bridges’ ankle issue—could trim some second-chance scoring even as it slightly softens the Hornets’ rim protection. Add in an early 1 p.m. tip and Golden State’s tendency to play more half-court, execution-heavy basketball in road games, and the Under 233.5 has a small but real edge, enough for a Grade C+ given that both offenses are capable of shooting their way past this number if variance tilts hot. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:56.
Spread Pick - Golden State Warriors, -6.5 (-110): Grade B-
Jimmy Butler’s two-way presence alongside Curry has fueled a Warriors team that’s 6-4 over its last 10 with an average margin of victory of nearly two possessions, while the Hornets, though 5-5 in that span, still carry a weaker differential and a more fragile rotation because of injuries to key bigs and several rotation pieces. Golden State has repeatedly beaten Charlotte by double digits in recent seasons, including a pair of road wins led by Curry’s playmaking in his frequent “homecoming” games, and this matchup again pits the Warriors’ deeper set of shot creators and switchable defenders against a Hornets squad leaning heavily on Ball, Miller and Collin Sexton for on-ball creation. With both teams still well short of 41 games, this is more about building positioning toward the play-in than direct playoff pressure, but the combination of recent form, matchup history, and Hornets’ frontcourt absences makes Warriors -6.5 the side, though road volatility and Hornets’ streaky shooting keep it at a Grade B-. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:56.
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