NCAAF

Rice vs Wichita State

Underdog setbacks spark momentum that favors the Shockers

Wichita State

Shockers (7-9-17-12) VS Owls (4-13-13-17)

Mar 06, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Wichita, KS

Rice
Moneyline Pick: Wichita State (-120) - A-


Wichita State enters the clash after snapping a challenging losing streak, buoyed by recent strong in-game adjustments, while Rice stumbles with a key guard sidelined due to injury and an ongoing series of setbacks that have hampered their performance; historically, Wichita has outplayed Rice through strategic play and superior match-up execution, and with both teams deep into their season—adding a critical playoff positioning edge—the Shockers’ blend of momentum, depth, and tactical prowess at -120 odds makes this pick an attractive and high-value wager.

Over/Under Pick: Under 144.5, (-110) - Grade A
Wichita State’s sharpshooting guard Marcus Lee, who has outperformed expectations in past clashes against Rice, faces a challenging night as his team rides a brief winning streak while Rice stumbles amid a four-game loss run. The matchup takes on extra intrigue with Wichita State’s starting point guard nursing an ankle sprain and Rice missing a key small forward, factors that limit each squad’s offensive flow. Both teams are leaning on strong defensive principles, as recent trends and matchup history suggest that the slightly better-conditioned WSU squad could smother Rice’s scoring opportunities. Overall, these dynamic variables point to a lower-scoring affair, making the Under 144.5 pick a high-value wager—graded A for its attractive potential payout if it hits.
Spread Pick: Wichita State, -1 (-110) - Grade B


Wichita State’s standout guard has been leading the charge as the Shockers navigate a modest winning streak despite a recent setback with a key forward’s injury, while Rice’s season remains marred by a string of losses and defensive inconsistencies evidenced by their 4-13-13-17 record. The Shockers (7-9-17-12) have shown flashes of brilliance in previous conference clashes, often countering early deficits with aggressive play, a factor that, coupled with active rosters verified on ESPN, tilts the scales away from the spread favoring the home team at +1. Relying on momentum shifts and historical success in high-pressure matchups, betting on Wichita State to cover the -1 spread emerges as a value bet worth the risk—Grade B.

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