Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks

Arizona’s rolling into this one on a three-game heater while Toronto has slid to a three-game skid, and that momentum backs a Moneyline lean toward the Diamondbacks with Zac Gallen at home against a struggling Max Scherzer, who brings a 1-2 record and inflated early-season ERA into a park where Gallen has been excellent and is making his third career start against this lineup. With George Springer, Anthony Santander and Alejandro Kirk all on the IL and Daulton Varsho banged up, the defending AL champs are running a thinner supporting cast around Vladimir Guerrero Jr. than usual, whereas Arizona’s order — anchored by Corbin Carroll, Ketel Marte and Nolan Arenado, who already punished Jays pitching in Friday’s opener — is close to full strength despite a few depth injuries. That combination of current form, healthier core bats and the Gallen-over-Scherzer edge makes Arizona -120 a B+ play on the Moneyline, offering a solid balance of win probability and reasonable return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/04/2026 10:23

Max Scherzer’s recent command woes and short outings, paired with an Arizona lineup that has been stacking multi-run innings at home and just put six on the board against Toronto, tilt this total toward the Over 9 despite Zac Gallen’s strong run of form. The Blue Jays’ offense is short-handed without Springer, Santander and Kirk, but they still have enough thump in bats like Guerrero, Eloy Jiménez and Kazuma Okamoto to punish any Gallen mistake, and Toronto’s bullpen is coming off a heavy workload after a bullpen day and then chasing the game in Friday’s loss, raising late-inning run-scoring risk on both sides. With the ball carrying in the desert, two high-octane lineups familiar with each other from last year and this series, and a number that’s shaded slightly toward the Under, Over 9 at -105 earns a B- grade as a modest value play that leans into volatility rather than run prevention. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/04/2026 10:23

Toronto’s battered lineup and three-game losing streak make it tough to trust the Blue Jays laying -1.5 on the road, especially with Scherzer trying to steady himself against an Arizona club that’s 12-8, riding a three-game win streak and has consistently put pressure on opposing starters at Chase Field. Even if Scherzer’s pedigree shows up in a bounce-back outing against his original organization, Gallen’s current groove and Arizona’s deep core of Carroll, Marte and Arenado — already productive versus Toronto in this series — suggest the Diamondbacks are more likely to either win outright or keep this within a run, which fits neatly with the +1.5 cushion. The juice at -200 isn’t cheap, but the combination of recent form, healthier everyday bats relative to Toronto’s IL situation and a strong home starter gives this D-backs +1.5 angle a B grade as a higher-probability, lower-upside way to back the home side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/04/2026 10:23