Mets vs Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers get a Mets team that has dropped six straight and scored only nine runs in that span, still missing Juan Soto’s bat as he works back from a calf strain, which leaves the visitors leaning heavily on Francisco Lindor, Bo Bichette and Luis Robert Jr. for offense. With Yoshinobu Yamamoto opposing rookie right-hander Nolan McLean, Los Angeles owns a clear edge in frontline pitching, and its core of Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Tucker and Will Smith has already shown in this series – and over years against Mets pitching in Freeman’s case – how quickly it can break a game open. The Mets’ bullpen is also thinned by injuries and recent workload, while the Dodgers’ relief corps behind Yamamoto remains deeper even with several arms on the IL, making late-inning swings toward New York less likely. I’m backing Los Angeles Dodgers -200 on the moneyline, grading it a B+ given the strong win probability but modest standalone value at this price point. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/04/2026 13:52

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s bat-missing arsenal in a pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium, combined with a Mets lineup that has been shut out in back-to-back games and is still without Juan Soto, points me toward Under 7.5 at -118 despite the Dodgers’ imposing offense. New York’s current heart of the order — Lindor, Bichette, Semien and Luis Robert Jr. — has struggled to string together quality at-bats in this skid, and they now face another top-end right-hander backed by a deep Dodgers bullpen that should feature multiple high-leverage arms if Yamamoto hands over a lead. On the other side, Nolan McLean’s big stuff but untested command profile raises some blowup risk, yet the Mets can quick-hook him and lean on matchups to keep the Dodgers from hanging a huge crooked number. Given the combination of New York’s extended cold spell, key injuries on both offenses and two capable pitching staffs, I’ll play Under 7.5 (-118) for a B grade, acknowledging the primary danger is the Dodgers doing most of the scoring themselves. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/04/2026 13:52

The Mets’ six-game losing streak has already included multiple multi-run defeats, and after being blanked 4-0 in the opener, I’m more inclined to lay Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 at -105 than to pay the steeper moneyline. Yamamoto versus McLean sets up as a clear quality gap in the rotation, and if McLean’s command wobbles early, the Dodgers’ right-heavy core of Ohtani, Freeman, Tucker and Smith is well-positioned to exploit traffic and create separation on the scoreboard again. With Soto still sidelined, Mookie Betts and others working back from injuries on the L.A. side, and the Mets’ bullpen already showing strain, New York’s odds of a late backdoor cover shrink if they fall behind by multiple runs before the middle innings. I’ll grade Dodgers -1.5 (-105) as a B+ play, offering better risk/reward than the moneyline while still riding the clear form, health and pitching advantages on the home side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/04/2026 13:52