Diamondbacks vs Mets

New York Mets backers have reason to stick with the home favorite on the moneyline, with the Mets having won four of their last five while the Diamondbacks only just snapped a four-game road skid in Wednesday’s 7-2 win. Even without Juan Soto, the Mets’ top of the order with Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor and Luis Robert Jr. still matches up well against left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez, who has opened 2026 with 12 scoreless innings but owns an ugly career ERA over six against New York and now faces a deep, right-leaning lineup in a park where their rookie sensation Nolan McLean has already shown front-line stuff. Arizona’s rotation is thinned by long-term injuries to Corbin Burnes and several relievers, and with Carlos Santana and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sidelined, they’re asking a shorthanded offense to solve an emerging ace in McLean and a late-inning duo that can still shorten games when New York is ahead. Laying -162 isn’t cheap, but between current form, home/road splits and the matchup history for Rodriguez against the Mets, the edge leans to New York strongly enough for a solid B-grade play on the Mets moneyline. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/04/2026 09:48

Eduardo Rodriguez’s blistering start and Arizona’s bounce-back win on Wednesday set up a rubber game where both clubs have actually been living in the low- to mid-scoring range, despite that 7-2 outburst, as the Mets still ride a 7-5 start and the D-backs sit at 6-6 after an up-and-down opening stretch. With Rodriguez yet to allow an earned run in 12 innings and McLean sporting a 2.61 ERA through his first 10.1 frames, plus both managers likely to give their starters long leashes after a bullpen-heavy middle game, the ingredients are here for a tightly pitched contest. Offensively, the Mets are missing Soto’s middle-of-the-order thunder, while Arizona is without Santana and Gurriel Jr., putting even more pressure on Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte to carry an otherwise inconsistent lineup that has already endured a prolonged road slump. Carroll has torched the Mets at times, including Wednesday’s three-extra-base-hit performance, and Alvarez has done damage against Arizona in the past, but with so many key bats out and two in-form starters whose swing-and-miss stuff should play in the cool April night air, the Under 7 at -110 earns a B+ as a slightly stronger edge than the side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/04/2026 09:48

Arizona’s lineup, even minus injured veterans like Carlos Santana and Lourdes Gurriel Jr., has shown enough life behind a red-hot Corbin Carroll to keep them in games, and they now arrive at the series finale having clawed back to .500 and just snapped both their four-game road losing streak and the Mets’ four-game win streak. Eduardo Rodriguez’s 0.00 ERA through two starts and ground-ball profile give the D-backs a realistic chance to either win outright or at least stay within a run against McLean, whose dominance is real but still comes with the volatility of a young starter facing a contact-oriented, speed-driven top of the Arizona order that has already burned New York’s staff this week. The Mets’ offense loses some margin for blowout wins without Soto, and a bullpen already missing A.J. Minter and several depth arms has looked shaky enough that a late Arizona rally through the middle relief corps is very much in play even if New York holds a narrow lead. Given the low total of 7, recent one-run results between these clubs and Rodriguez’s ability to neutralize lefty power in a park that isn’t especially homer-friendly in April, laying -188 on Diamondbacks +1.5 is expensive but still worthy of a B- grade as a way to capture a tight game flow in either direction. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/04/2026 09:48