NBA
Mavericks vs Spurs
Texas rivalry heats up as injury concerns loom large

Dallas Mavericks
Champ (33-33) VS Coyote (26-37)
March 12, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX

San Antonio Spurs
Moneyline Pick: Dallas Mavericks (+188) - Grade B+
Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks aim to bounce back from their current two-game losing skid, looking to reignite their playoff push. Although the Mavs have struggled lately, San Antonio's recent performances raise bigger alarms, as the Spurs enter this game mired in a four-game losing streak. Injuries could heavily influence the game's outcome, as Mavericks center Dereck Lively II is questionable, compromising Dallas' inside presence. Historically, Dallas has had the upper hand, winning three of the last four matchups against the Spurs this season. With attractive +188 odds given their recent head-to-head dominance, the Mavericks provide solid potential value, though contingent upon Doncic's ability to carry the offense amid Lively's uncertain status.
Over/Under Pick: Under 237.5 (-110) - B+
Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks face a complicated scoring puzzle heading into this matchup against the San Antonio Spurs. Dallas has struggled recently, posting consecutive losses and leaning on Doncic extensively due to Kyrie Irving's absence from the lineup, limiting their scoring depth and offensive consistency. Meanwhile, the Spurs themselves have displayed significant offensive inconsistency, currently enduring a three-game losing streak and averaging just 105 points per contest during that span. Historically, matchups between these two teams have leaned toward lower overall totals, notably staying under 230 points in three of their last four meetings. Given the injuries, inconsistent recent shooting, and historical defensive battles, opting for the under at 237.5 points appears a promising wager. This Under prediction carries a B+ rating, based on high likelihood of success and good potential monetary value.
Spread Pick: Dallas Mavericks, +5.5 (-104) - Grade: A-
The Dallas Mavericks head into Wednesday night’s matchup on a commendable three-game winning streak, showcasing improved rhythm and better offensive execution in recent contests. In contrast, the Spurs have dropped four consecutive games, faltering on both ends of the court as of late. Crucially, San Antonio must contend with playing short-handed, facing injury concerns notably impacting Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell, severely hampering their offense. Historically, Dallas has performed well against their Texan rivals, winning six out of their last eight meetings with San Antonio, including convincing victories on the Spurs' home floor. Given these factors, backing the Mavericks with a +5.5 spread provides excellent betting value and is very likely to deliver profitable returns at the current odds.
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