NCAAF

Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State

Momentum Matters: Confidence on the Road to Victory

Alcorn State

Braves (9-7-9-20) VS Delta Devils (1-15-3-26)

Mar 06, 2025 | 20:30 ET | Alcorn State Coliseum

Mississippi Valley State
Moneyline Pick: Alcorn State (-3500) - Grade A


Alcorn State enters the matchup riding a promising winning streak that reflects both strong recent performances and full squad health, particularly at center and left wing, offering a stark contrast to Mississippi Valley State’s six-game losing tail and lingering injury concerns at left wing. The Bulldogs have capitalized on key matchups before—most notably through standout performances from their forward, who historically dismantles the opposing defense—and this advantage is amplified by the absence of significant injuries to their primary operators, a luxury that Mississippi Valley State no longer enjoys. While the odds are steep at -3500, this move is underscored by their current form and bench strength, giving it a high probability of success paired with limited monetary risk. The interplay of recent momentum, injury updates, and head-to-head historical dominance collectively boost this pick, making it a confident selection in tonight’s contest.

Over/Under Pick: Under 127.5, (+110) - A-


Alcorn State’s star guard, Jamal Brown, has been lighting up the floor despite a setback from a key starting forward’s nagging injury, setting the tone for today’s matchup against a struggling Mississippi Valley State squad that’s endured a rough 1-win stretch alongside a sidelined primary playmaker. The current dynamics, with Alcorn riding a steadier win trend and Mississippi Valley State seeking a spark in a string of losses, are amplified by historical head-to-head matchups that have seen defensive intensity limit scoring when their key opponents step up. With these variables subtly shifting the tempo—each team adjusting to injuries and momentum shifts—the prediction leans toward a lower-scoring affair, making the Under at 127.5 an enticing bet with a predicted grade of A- and attractive monetary value if it wins.

Spread Pick: Mississippi Valley State, +18 (-110) - Grade B
Alcorn State’s standout guard Marcus Jones has been the talk of the season, yet recent game-to-game shifts—including a minor setback for key forward Jamal Carter—have disrupted their momentum, despite a solid overall record. Meanwhile, Mississippi Valley State, sporting an underwhelming record on paper, has defied expectations in several nail-biters this season, and historical conference matchups suggest their contests are never decided by the pregame spread alone. With Alcorn State’s current winning streak showing signs of inconsistency and crucial injury worries clouding their offensive punch, the evidence points to Mississippi Valley State’s potential to cover the hefty +18 despite the odds at -110. Tagline: When injury and history tip the balance, the underdog may just steal the spotlight.
Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks