Alabama State vs Southern
Underdog Energy Sparks a Surprise Upset!

Hornets (10-6-14-15) VS Jaguars
Mar 06, 2025 | 21:00 ET | Montgomery, AL

Alabama State’s dynamic guard has been igniting the court recently, and his current winning momentum signals an opportunity. Despite Southern’s strong overall statistics as reflected in their heavy -300 odds, a key injury to their primary guard (G) has raised concerns at both ends of the floor, while the Hornets are riding a modest streak that primes them for an upset. Historical matchups have shown that Alabama State’s standout forward consistently challenges Southern’s defensive lineup, and the team’s recent surge, coupled with a noticeable dip in Southern’s recent form, makes this a compelling high-value pick. The interplay of momentum, injury implications, and matchup history all point to the Hornets as a calculated underdog—earning a grade B for its attractive risk-reward profile.
Alabama State’s standout guard Elijah Carter, a key player confirmed on ESPN’s active roster, has been visibly rallying despite the team’s recent short losing streak and a nagging injury setback to one of their influential forwards; this, combined with Southern’s uneven performances during their winning run and a noted historical trend of underwhelming defensive rotations in conference play, sets the stage for a surprise shift in momentum. With the home team favored by 7 points but struggling to maintain consistency in high-pressure periods, the underdog Alabama State appears ready to exploit this imbalance and cover the spread, offering a compelling monetary value at -110 odds.
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