NCAAF

West Virginia vs BYU

Cougars look to stay perfect while Mountaineers chase a massive upset

West Virginia

WVU (2-3) VS BYU (4-0)

Oct 3 2025 | 9:30 p.m. ET | LaVell Edwards Stadium – Provo, UT

BYU
Moneyline Pick - BYU (-1400): Grade B

BYU enters this matchup with both momentum and statistical control, having leaned on efficient quarterback play and a front seven that has limited opposing rushing attacks. Their defense has been especially stingy at home, holding opponents well below national averages in both yardage and scoring, which pairs neatly with an offense that protects the football and sustains drives. West Virginia, meanwhile, has struggled to generate consistent production away from home, with its attack leaning too heavily on scrambling rather than structured success. The game environment also favors BYU, as Provo has historically been a difficult venue for visitors under the lights. This prediction rests on defensive strength, tempo control, and home-field advantage.

From a betting standpoint, the pick tilts heavily toward BYU on the moneyline, even at a steep price. While the payout isn’t flashy, the Cougars’ combination of talent, form, and matchup edges makes them the safer side to trust. With no weather concerns or injury disruptions to level the field, backing the home favorite aligns with both probability and situational edges.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/03?2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 46.5 (-115): Grade B-

BYU has paired a stingy defense with an offense that rarely stalls, consistently pushing into the 30s thanks to balanced quarterback play and an effective ground attack. Against a West Virginia front that has struggled to contain the run, the Cougars should be able to sustain drives and create red-zone opportunities throughout the night. On the other side, the Mountaineers’ tempo under their new coordinator gives them extra possessions, and even when trailing, their quick-strike sets allow for late scoring that can pad totals. With clear weather and favorable kicking conditions, both sides have paths to contribute enough for the scoreboard to stay active. This prediction leans on offensive efficiency, defensive mismatches, and pace of play.

From a betting perspective, the pick tilts toward the Over at 46.5, with multiple game scripts supporting it. BYU’s ability to score consistently at home combines with West Virginia’s uptempo push to make mid- to high-40s scoring realistic, even if the Cougars control the contest. The likelihood of fourth-quarter points from a trailing Mountaineer offense strengthens the angle, making the total a more attractive bet than the side.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/03/2025 at 9:00am

Spread Pick - BYU, -19 (-110): Grade B

BYU has been both efficient and opportunistic at home, leaning on a defense that forces turnovers and an offense capable of capitalizing with quick points. Their edge in the trenches is particularly significant here, as West Virginia’s protection issues line up poorly against a Cougar pass rush that’s been relentless to start the year. With the Mountaineers already struggling to contain ground-heavy attacks, BYU’s depth and physicality should gradually tilt the game script in their favor. Add in the late-night Provo environment, where the Cougars have consistently thrived against higher-profile visitors, and the setup points strongly toward separation. This prediction rests on turnovers, pressure rates, and home-field advantage combining to create a cushion.

From a betting standpoint, the pick favors BYU to cover the large spread, with confidence that their defensive front and balanced offense can push the margin late. Even if West Virginia hangs around early with tempo, their thin line play and negative turnover profile make it difficult to sustain for four quarters. A late Cougar score against a worn-down unit feels like the deciding factor that clears the number.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/03/2025 at 9:02am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks