Blues vs Ducks

Jordan Kyrou and the Blues roll into Anaheim having just snapped a two-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Canucks, while the Ducks arrive on a two-game skid after losses in Edmonton and San Jose, so recent momentum actually leans to St. Louis despite Anaheim’s better overall record. On the health front, the Ducks are nursing several key absences and day-to-day issues (Troy Terry’s play-driving on the wing and Radko Gudas’ defensive minutes are especially hard to replace), whereas the Blues’ only notable injury is depth defender Tyler Tucker, leaving their top nine and goaltending intact. Matchup-wise, St. Louis has absolutely owned this season series of late: a 4-0 road shutout in this building and a 7-2 home rout, driven by Kyrou, Robert Thomas and Pavel Buchnevich repeatedly torching Anaheim’s defensive coverage, while Lukas Dostal has struggled to track their east–west puck movement. With the Ducks still chasing seeding at the top of the Pacific but the Blues even more desperate as they sit a few points back in the wild-card race, the urgency edge slightly favors the underdog that already knows it can dictate this matchup at 5-on-5. Taking all of that together, the value side at the current price is St. Louis on the moneyline at +122, a solid but not slam-dunk edge that grades out as a B given the combination of recent form, matchup history and plus-money price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/04/2026 09:22

Recent form for both teams sets a volatile scoring backdrop: Anaheim has dropped two straight while allowing four goals in each, and St. Louis just ended its own mini-slide with three goals in Vancouver after hanging seven and four on the Ducks in their last two meetings, so both clubs are trending away from low-event hockey. The Ducks’ injury list matters for pace and defense—losing a top-six winger like Terry and a physical, shot-suppressing blue-liner in Gudas tends to open up their games, and their penalty kill has been leaky most of the year, which is dangerous against a Blues power play that already went off versus Anaheim with multi-goal nights from Buchnevich and company. Historically in this matchup, we’ve seen totals of 5, 4 and 9 this season, but those surface numbers hide how badly the Blues have tilted shot quality and special-teams chances, especially once they get a lead and force the Ducks to stretch the ice. With Anaheim still incentivized to push for two points in a tight Pacific race and St. Louis in full “must-win” mode for the West wild card, the late-game empty-net and penalty dynamics lean toward extra scoring opportunities rather than both sides sitting on a tie. I like Over 6 at -115 on the assumption that Anaheim’s offense, led by Mason McTavish, Leo Carlsson and Cutter Gauthier, does more damage at home this time while the Blues’ top six and power play remain a problem, but the presence of high-ceiling goalies like Jordan Binnington/Joel Hofer and Dostal makes it less than a lock, so this total gets a B- grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/04/2026 09:22

Given that the Ducks have stumbled into this one on a two-game losing streak and are missing important pieces, while the Blues just stopped their own two-game slide and have largely dominated the season series, the most reliable angle feels like fading the chance of an Anaheim multi-goal win rather than betting on another St. Louis blowout. Anaheim’s injuries to Terry and Gudas thin both their scoring depth and their ability to keep Jordan Kyrou, Robert Thomas and Pavel Buchnevich from attacking off the rush, and in the recent meetings where the Blues have controlled play, it’s been Hofer and Binnington calmly handling a Ducks top six that relies heavily on McTavish, Gauthier and Carlsson to generate offense. With the Ducks jockeying for division position and the Blues still chasing a wild-card spot, both teams have strong incentive to lock things down late if the score is tight, which usually suppresses the risk of an extended empty-net avalanche against the underdog. St. Louis +1.5 at -211 should cash more often than not in a matchup where they’ve already shown they can win outright in this building, but the heavy juice limits the monetary upside compared to the straight moneyline and leaves much less room for variance if Anaheim finally converts its home-ice edge into a multi-goal response game, so I’ll play it conservatively and tag this puckline as a C+ value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/04/2026 09:22