NBA
76ers vs Knicks
Red-hot Knicks host a fearless Embiid in a grinding Garden opener.

Philadelphia 76ers
76ers (45-37) VS Knicks (53-29)
May 4, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

New York Knicks

Moneyline Pick - New York Knicks (-300): B
New York rides into this matchup off a dominant close to the Hawks series, while Philadelphia just overturned a 3–1 hole against Boston with three straight wins, but for the moneyline I still lean Knicks at -300 because their rested Jalen Brunson–Karl-Anthony Towns–OG Anunoby core is intact, Josh Hart’s earlier ankle and back scares haven’t derailed their wing depth, and Joel Embiid — brilliant as he’s been with Tyrese Maxey after returning from his spring injuries — faces a quick turnaround, heavy minutes, and layers of length at the rim in a hostile Garden; the price offers only modest payout, yet the combination of home court, depth, and relative health makes Knicks ML a solid B in terms of win probability versus risk. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:41
Over/Under Pick - Under 211.5, (-110): B-
Philadelphia’s comeback over Boston and New York’s record-setting demolition of Atlanta both featured explosive scoring stretches, yet with Embiid still ramping his conditioning after abdominal and oblique issues, the Knicks rolling out a long, switchable defensive spine in Anunoby, Bridges, Hart and Towns, and both teams already in playoff mode after grinding through physical first-round series, I expect Game 1 pace and shot quality to look more like the Sixers–Celtics slugfests than the Hawks track meets, so I lean Under 211.5 at -110 in a matchup where halfcourt execution, foul trouble, and short rest for Philadelphia all point toward a lower-possession, defense-driven opener; I’d grade that Under a B-, acknowledging the clear risk that elite shot-makers like Brunson, Maxey, and George turn this into a late-game three-point barrage that pushes the total over. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:41
Spread Pick - Philadelphia 76ers, +7.5 (-110): B
Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey have just carried the 76ers through three straight elimination-game wins, and even against a Knicks team that finished 53–29 with home court, an elite defense, and a deep Brunson–Anunoby–Bridges–Hart–Towns core, that caliber of top-end creation plus the added playmaking and spacing from Paul George and V.J. Edgecombe makes Philadelphia +7.5 appealing, because New York’s physical style and recent blowouts can sometimes mask their own scoring droughts and reliance on Brunson in tight late-game situations, while Embiid’s size advantage inside and the Sixers’ improved wing depth give them multiple ways to keep this within one or two possessions despite the rest disadvantage; I’d take the Sixers and the points at +7.5 (-110) with a B grade, expecting Knicks to be favored to win outright but not necessarily to separate enough to clear this inflated spread. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 03/05/2026 09:41
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