Oregon vs Washington

Oregon rides a five-game winning streak into Seattle while Washington has taken four of its last five and owns a dominant recent home mark, but the Ducks’ overall efficiency and depth still tilt this moneyline toward the favorite. Dante Moore has rebounded from his midseason knock to post a top-five national completion rate, directing an offense averaging north of 40 points even as key wideouts like Dakorien Moore and Gary Bryant Jr. remain banged up, forcing Oregon to lean more on Noah Whittington and its deep backfield rotation. On the other side, Demond Williams Jr.’s dual-threat profile and the anticipated heavier workloads for Denzel Boston and Jonah Coleman raise Washington’s offensive ceiling, yet the Huskies’ protection issues against this front — including the 10 sacks they allowed in last year’s meeting — are a real concern in a game where Oregon’s pass rush and red-zone defense have consistently shown up. With the Ducks needing a win to cement a College Football Playoff resume and already proving they can score on elite opponents on the road, laying the juice on Oregon’s moneyline at -278 earns an A- grade for blend of win probability and still-reasonable risk. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/11/2025 11:08am

With Oregon scoring 42 in each of its last two outings and Washington hanging 48 at UCLA, the recent form of both offenses suggests points despite two strong defenses, which leans me to the Over 51.5 at -116. Moore and Williams both sit among the national leaders in completion percentage, and they’re supported by productive skill groups — Whittington and Jordan Davidson powering Oregon’s ground game, Boston and Coleman expected to be more involved for Washington — that can stress defenses horizontally and vertically, particularly in tempo situations and off scripted drives. While Oregon’s defense has lived in the top 10 nationally in points allowed and Washington’s unit is giving up under 20 per game, each is facing one of the best passing attacks it has seen, and recent rivalry history (multiple meetings in the 60s and 70s) shows how quickly this matchup can turn into a track meet once explosive plays start stacking. Factor in Oregon’s tendency to stay aggressive with a lead, Washington’s willingness to let Williams create off-schedule, and both teams’ playoff or bowl-position motivations, and the Over gets a B+ grade as a solid, if not risk-free, way to back both high-powered offenses. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/11/2025 11:08am

Against the spread, Oregon -6.5 at -125 is more volatile than the moneyline but still appealing given the Ducks’ five-game surge and average double-digit margins, even acknowledging Washington’s 25-1 run at home over its last 26 games. Oregon’s offense marries an ultra-accurate Moore with a rushing attack that ranks among the nation’s most efficient, giving the Ducks multiple ways to sustain drives and finish in the red zone against a Husky defense that has been excellent overall but has not consistently seen this level of balance and trench play. Washington’s path to a cover hinges on Williams’ ability to handle pressure and avoid the kind of protection collapse that led to 10 sacks in last year’s 49-21 loss, a tall order with some key front-seven pieces missing and offensive-line health still less than pristine, even as getting Boston and Coleman closer to full strength boosts their scoring punch. With Oregon’s playoff urgency, superior depth at the skill positions despite its own wide receiver attrition, and a defense capable of creating short fields, a seven-to-ten point Ducks win is a reasonable expectation, but the rivalry chaos factor and Washington’s Senior Day emotion keep this at a B rather than an elite-grade play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/11/2025 11:08am