NCAAF
Nebraska vs Utah
Shorthanded Huskers meet a Utah machine built to win big.

Nebraska
NEB (7-5) VS UTAH (10-2)
December 31, 2025 | 3:30 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada

Utah

Moneyline Pick - Utah (-625): B
Utah’s five-game winning streak, built on a 41.1 points-per-game offense and 269.8 rushing yards per game, makes the Utes the clear side of the moneyline despite the heavy -625 price. Nebraska limps in off back-to-back blowout losses, down its original starting quarterback Dylan Raiola and workhorse back Emmett Johnson, which leaves freshman TJ Lateef to carry a one-dimensional attack behind a reshuffled offensive line against a Utah defense allowing just 18.7 points per game. Utah’s junior QB Devon Dampier has piled up nearly 2,900 yards of total offense with 29 total touchdowns and now faces a Huskers front that gave up 4.8 yards per carry in the regular season, a mismatch that should show up over four quarters even with Utah’s opt-outs at offensive tackle and edge rusher. Nebraska’s historically perfect 4-0 series edge over Utah came generations ago and doesn’t offset the current roster gap, recent form, and coaching stability Utah still enjoys under new head man Morgan Scalley. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:23
Over/Under Pick - Over 51.5 (-115): B-
With Utah combining a top-five scoring offense and top-two rushing attack with dual-threat quarterbacks in Dampier and Byrd Ficklin, the Over 51.5 leans attractive even against a Nebraska defense that has been much stronger versus the pass than the run. The Utes have cleared 40 points in four of their last five wins, and their ground-heavy style stresses a Husker front that already struggled to fit gaps before losing key veteran pieces and safety DeShon Singleton, which increases the risk of explosive runs and short fields. On the other side, Nebraska’s offense is clearly downgraded without Johnson, but Lateef’s mobility, a fully intact top receiver trio, and a fast track inside Allegiant Stadium set up enough scoring chances for the Huskers to contribute meaningfully, especially if they are chasing from behind and extending drives on fourth downs. Bowl volatility from opt-outs and the coaching transition at Utah keeps this from being an elite grade, but the combination of Utah’s pace and efficiency plus Nebraska’s defensive matchup issues points slightly more to a game that lands in the mid-50s than one that bogs down. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:23
Spread Pick - Utah, -14.5 (-105): B+
Utah laying -14.5 gets the nod because their recent margins and matchup profile both tilt toward another multi-score result, even with several NFL-bound linemen and pass rushers sitting out. The Utes closed the regular season by winning five straight, regularly winning by double digits while averaging over 7 yards per play, and now they face a Nebraska team that ended with two ugly defeats as injuries mounted and the defense showed particular vulnerability to mobile quarterbacks and power run games. With Raiola and Johnson unavailable, the Huskers are asking a freshman quarterback behind a patched-together line to keep pace with Dampier, Wayshawn Parker, and a Utah rushing attack that thrives at grinding down fronts just like Nebraska’s, which has already been allowing chunk yards on the ground. Nebraska’s motivation to reach 8-5 and Utah’s push for an 11th win and top-10 finish are real for both sides, but Utah’s superior continuity at quarterback, schematic advantage on the ground, and recent level of play make covering this number more likely than not. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:23
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