NCAAF

Duke vs Tulane

Humidity, hurry-up, and a home crowd tilt the tide.

Duke

DUKE (0-0) VS TULN (0-0)

September 13, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA

Tulane
Moneyline Pick - Tulane (-120): B

Tulane enters the new season with stability in its offensive core, and that continuity provides a clear edge against a Duke team still sorting out pieces up front. The Green Wave’s efficiency on the ground and ability to protect possessions pairs well against an opponent introducing a first-year starter behind a line that has struggled to keep quarterbacks clean. On defense, Tulane’s depth in the trenches projects as a difference-maker, particularly under humid night conditions that can wear on traveling teams. With both rosters healthy, the matchup leans toward the home side’s experience and sharper cohesion in critical situations.

From a betting perspective, the moneyline offers a safer angle than leaning on a tight spread. Tulane’s track record of combining ball security with situational defense makes them a strong prediction to come out on top, and the pick is to back the Green Wave outright. While the price is slightly juiced, it still provides value given Duke’s transition phase and the home-field boost that has historically tilted key downs in Tulane’s favor. This bet fits as a steady play for those seeking reliability in early-season action.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:20am

Over/Under Pick - Over 52.5 (-110): B+

Both Tulane and Duke favor up-tempo football, and with neither staff showing signs of slowing pace, the setup points toward plenty of possessions. Tulane’s continuity on offense, paired with the majority of last year’s production back in place, ensures efficiency remains high. On the other side, Duke’s offensive overhaul leans into an RPO system designed for explosive plays, and that fits against a Tulane secondary replacing multiple starters. Depth concerns in both defensive backfields highlight the likelihood of chunk-yardage gains, and warm September conditions along the Gulf only tilt the matchup further toward late-game scoring.

From a betting standpoint, the posted total appears conservative relative to these trends. The combination of speed, experience, and schematic aggression sets up cleanly for both teams to put points on the board. The prediction favors a game that clears the low-50s threshold, and the pick is the over, with confidence that pace and play design will overcome defensive inexperience. For bettors seeking early-season totals value, this bet has multiple factors aligned in its favor.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 9:21am

Spread Pick - Tulane, -1.5 (-110): B

With such a narrow line, siding with Tulane against the spread closely mirrors the moneyline but brings slightly better value. The Green Wave’s defensive front projects as a deciding factor, with its ability to collapse the pocket against a Duke offense still gelling around a new starter. That pressure, paired with a proven edge in field-position battles, gives Tulane the kind of small but meaningful advantages that matter most in tight games. On offense, steady quarterback play at home further supports the case for a clean performance in key moments. Altogether, the setup favors Tulane turning defensive disruption and special-teams efficiency into separation.

From a betting standpoint, the overlap between the spread and moneyline makes the choice one of value preference. The prediction leans toward Tulane controlling the trenches and limiting Duke’s ability to find rhythm, while the pick is to back the Green Wave against the number. Even in what projects as a close contest, their advantages in both defensive pressure and situational execution justify confidence that the spread is within reach. This bet is a calculated way to squeeze a little extra return without added risk.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:22am

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