NCAAF

Central Michigan vs Michigan

Wolverines eye another MAC mauling—can the Chippewas stem the tide?

Central Michigan

CMU (0-0) VS MICH (0-0)

13 Sep 2025 | 11:00 AM ET | Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

Michigan
Moneyline Pick - Michigan (-5000): C-

Michigan enters with the blend of continuity, depth, and historical dominance that makes this type of matchup lopsided on paper. Their offensive line stability provides a strong foundation for a blue-chip quarterback to operate efficiently, and the Wolverines’ track record against MAC opponents underscores the difficulty for a program like Central Michigan to keep pace. The Chippewas face the dual challenge of rebuilding their secondary and improving an offense that struggled to produce a season ago, making it unlikely they can exploit Michigan’s rare breakdowns. With weather and health variables neutral, the outlook favors the favorite dictating tempo and controlling every phase of the game.

From a betting perspective, the moneyline price on Michigan is prohibitive, but the pick is straightforward given the matchup dynamics. Central Michigan’s lack of proven scoring punch makes it difficult to envision a competitive result, while Michigan’s proven ability to take care of business against lesser opponents further supports confidence in the chalk. The prediction rests less on finding value and more on recognizing that the outcome strongly tilts toward the Wolverines maintaining their dominant form.

This prediction gets an C- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:15am

Over/Under Pick - Over 42.5 (-110): B

Michigan’s offensive firepower remains the centerpiece, with depth across the backfield and a system capable of producing points even when the starters rotate out. Against a Central Michigan defense that struggled against stronger competition last year and now replaces key pieces up front, explosive plays on the ground feel inevitable. While the Wolverines often scale back once a margin is secure, their second-string talent still creates mismatches that sustain scoring production. On the other side, Central Michigan’s willingness to play uptempo gives them chances to find the end zone late, especially against a defense that may feature reserves in the fourth quarter.

From a betting standpoint, the Over looks like the sharper pick. Michigan has the potential to put the number in jeopardy on its own, while Central Michigan’s offense is competent enough to contribute just enough to push things over the top. With mild weather removing external hurdles, efficiency should remain high on both ends. The prediction tilts toward a total that clears the mid-40s comfortably, fueled by a mix of Michigan’s early dominance and late-game possessions that keep the scoreboard moving.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:17am

Spread Pick - Michigan, ‑27.5 (-115): B-

Michigan’s non-conference dominance has been defined by both efficiency and margin, and this matchup sets up as more of the same. Their pass rush is positioned to overwhelm a Central Michigan offensive line that struggled badly in protection a year ago, making it difficult for the visitors to sustain drives. Even if the Wolverines rotate personnel late, their depth on defense has proven capable of maintaining control, which reduces the risk of late backdoor points skewing the outcome. Special-teams advantages further tilt field position, adding to the likelihood of short scoring opportunities that pad the margin.

From a betting angle, laying the points with Michigan is the logical pick. Their ability to build early leads, sustain defensive pressure, and capitalize on field position makes a four-touchdown cover attainable, even if the pace slows in the second half. Central Michigan’s vulnerabilities align too cleanly with Michigan’s strengths, and history suggests the Wolverines are well suited to extend their run of big-margin wins outside the Big Ten. The prediction favors Michigan handling the number with room to spare.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:20am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks