NCAAF

Buffalo vs Kent State

Bulls aim for a stampede while Flashes seek a spark.

Buffalo

BUFF (0-0) VS KENT (0-0)

13 Sep 2025 | 11:00 ET | Dix Stadium – Kent, OH

Kent State
Moneyline Pick - Buffalo (-2500): B-

Buffalo brings stability into this matchup, with veteran leadership at quarterback and a defense that held up well against quality opponents last season. Their ability to limit explosive plays contrasts sharply with a Kent State roster in transition, still searching for answers on offense after widespread turnover. The Golden Flashes’ lack of proven production makes it difficult to envision them capitalizing on Buffalo’s occasional lapses, and the Bulls’ continuity offers a major early-season advantage. With no key injuries impacting either side, the setup strongly favors Buffalo asserting control, even in a road environment.

From a betting standpoint, the moneyline chalk is steep, but the pick is straightforward. Buffalo’s experience and defensive edge reduce the likelihood of volatility, while Kent State’s rebuild makes the path to an upset extremely narrow. The prediction points toward Buffalo maintaining momentum from last season’s finish and handling business in a contest where the underdog lacks the personnel to keep pace. While value is limited, the bet remains justified based on the matchup dynamics.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:22am

Over/Under Pick - Under 48.5 (-110): B

Buffalo’s defensive profile points toward a slower, more controlled game script, especially given their success late last season in holding opponents below national scoring averages. That strength pairs with a run-heavy offensive approach designed to bleed clock once a lead is secured, limiting overall play volume. On the other side, Kent State enters with an offense still searching for rhythm and lacking proven explosiveness, which makes sustained drives difficult to forecast. With clean weather removing outside variables, the matchup hinges almost entirely on tempo and efficiency, both of which favor a modest scoring output.

From a betting standpoint, the Under looks like the sharper pick. Buffalo has the tools to take control early, but their offensive tendencies point more toward grinding possessions than chasing style points. Kent State’s limited passing ceiling only reinforces that outlook, making it unlikely they contribute heavily to the total. Unless Buffalo posts a breakout performance well above their usual range, this prediction favors a scoreline that lands below market expectations.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:24am

Spread Pick - Buffalo, -23.5 (-110): B

Buffalo enters with a clear physical edge that should dictate the flow from the start. A veteran offensive line and steady run game provide the foundation for sustained drives, and that plays directly into the weakness of a Kent State defense still stocked with underclassmen. Defensively, Buffalo’s scheme is aggressive enough to rattle an inexperienced opponent, creating the likelihood of short fields that further tilt momentum. With both sides of the ball aligned toward control, the Bulls are well-positioned to pile up possessions and points before the game’s final stretch.

From a betting perspective, laying the points with Buffalo looks justified despite the hefty number. Their ability to dominate time of possession, pair efficiency with field position, and exploit mismatches in the trenches makes covering four touchdowns realistic. While road favorites of this size always carry some risk, the matchup dynamics suggest the Bulls have the tools to build and maintain separation comfortably. The prediction favors Buffalo handling the spread with room to spare.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/09/2025 at 9:25am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks