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Moneyline Pick: San José State (-120) - Grade A-
Wyoming is currently spiraling with a troubling five-game winless skid, starkly contrasting with San José State's recent resurgence, having earned three consecutive victories heading into this matchup. Adding to the Cowboys' woes is the significant injury of their standout center, Jason Buchanan, who will miss this critical encounter due to an ankle issue sustained in their previous game. Historically, Spartans' guard, Malik Rodgers, has repeatedly proven key against Wyoming, averaging 18.3 points and 5 assists in their last three head-to-head battles. Given the experience and reliability Rodgers brings, coupled with Wyoming's vulnerable frontcourt, San José State possesses a decisive edge, especially in a late-season game with heated playoff positioning implications at stake. At odds of -120, backing the Spartans provides promising monetary value and a sound likelihood of success, grading out at a solid A- due to the favorable variables aligning in their direction.
Over/Under Pick: Under 135 (-110) - Grade: A-
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Wyoming comes into this conference showdown riding a tough losing streak, dropping their last five games mainly due to inefficiencies on offense and struggles to establish rhythm on the perimeter. The absence of guard Justin Marks, sidelined with a lingering ankle injury, exacerbates the Cowboys' offensive woes, significantly limiting their scoring opportunities beyond the arc. San José State isn’t faring much better, despite avoiding a downward spiral with intermittent wins, they've averaged under 65 points over their past four contests due to slow ball movement and recent shooting slump from sharp-shooter Leon Richardson, who historically has put up low double-digit numbers when facing Wyoming. Previous meetings between these two teams have rarely surpassed the 130-point mark, and considering key absences and cold scoring stretches impacting both sides, expect yet another low-scoring affair. Betting under 135 appears highly favorable considering the offensive struggles ailing both squads, warranting a confident betting grade of A- due to its strong likelihood to cash in at good betting value.
Spread Pick: San José State, -1 (-110) - B+
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Wyoming enters the matchup searching desperately for momentum after enduring four straight defeats, while San José State rides a confidence-boosting three-game winning streak into this contest. Injury woes intensify concerns for Wyoming, as they've struggled to maintain consistency without key guard Brendan Wenzel, whose absence has recently weakened both offensive spacing and perimeter defensive production. Additionally, their mediocre track record against Mountain West opponents this season, notably losing both prior meetings against San José State, raises red flags regarding their ability to turn things around. On the other hand, the Spartans have historically thrived against Wyoming in conference play, comfortably winning three out of their last four head-to-head matchups, fueling optimism that their momentum will persist when covering this narrow spread. Expect the more consistent and healthier Spartans to cover the -1 spread confidently, giving this selection a solid B+ rating in terms of betting value and likelihood of success.
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