MLB

Washington vs Pittsburgh

Will a battered lineup sink or swim under pressure?

Washington Nationals

Nationals (6-10) VS Pirates (6-11)

04/16/2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Pittsburgh (-115): B

Pittsburgh enters this matchup looking to snap a short skid, facing a Washington team that’s also trying to find some form early in this season. Both lineups are dealing with key absences, which puts extra pressure on top bats to carry the load. While the postseason remains a distant thought this early in the season, these games still matter for building rhythm and confidence. Pittsburgh’s slightly more complete roster and favorable matchup history give them a narrow edge.

Honestly, it’s a decent spot to ride with the Pirates. The Nats haven’t looked sharp lately, and if Reynolds gets going, this one could tilt in Pittsburgh’s favor. It’s not a flashy pick, but there’s just enough upside here to make it worth a shot.

Over/Under Pick - Over 8.5 (-110): B+

Washington and Pittsburgh both limp into this contest with less than stellar form and injury concerns on each side, leaving their rotations and lineups short of full strength. With playoff implications not really a concern for either team this season, the play in this series could be a lot more expressive. Given the history between these squads—highlighted by streaky bats that tend to shine in this matchup—a high-scoring affair feels more than plausible, especially with both pitching staffs vulnerable.

Honestly, this Over pick is pretty appealing. These teams might not be flashy, but their offenses can get hot in the right setting, and tonight’s conditions check those boxes. That B+ grade feels right—expect some fireworks near the Allegheny.

Spread Pick - Pittsburgh Pirates, +1 (-170): B+

Pittsburgh looks to snap a rough stretch as they return home against a Washington squad that won their last game but has ongoing injury issues. With both teams sitting below .500, the urgency to shift momentum is rising. Despite missing key pieces, the Pirates still have reliable veterans to lean on, and their lineup has shown just enough spark to suggest a turnaround isn’t far off. Washington, meanwhile, continues to struggle with consistency and health.

Honestly, this feels like a spot where Pittsburgh can right the ship. They're due, and with the Nats equally shaky, backing the Bucs to cover makes sense. It’s not the safest pick on the board, but there’s value if the home team shows a little of that familiar Steel City grit.

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks