MLB

Nationals vs Mets

Home dominance and hot bats tilt the odds blue and orange.

Washington Nationals

Nationals (30-35) VS Mets (42-24)

Jun 10 2025 | 7:10 PM ET | Citi Field, Queens

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-160): B

The Mets enter this divisional tilt riding a three-game winning streak, facing a Nationals team that has lost their last two and continues to shuffle its rotation. With a lefty starter on the hill for Washington, New York’s right-handed power bats are in a favorable spot, especially in a park that has historically rewarded their approach. Despite the absence of their closer, the Mets' bullpen has delivered consistent results over the past two weeks, outperforming a Washington relief corps that's been tagged for runs at a higher clip.

At this point in the season, every divisional edge counts, and the Mets appear better equipped on both sides of the ball. Strong recent starting pitching, timely offense, and a steadier bullpen tilt this matchup in their favor. The moneyline may come with a premium, but the underlying numbers support the play. This one earns a solid B grade for reliability and upside.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/06/2025 09:45

Over/Under Pick - Under 7.5 (-110): B

Washington heads into Queens mired in a two-game slide, while New York continues to build momentum behind a three-game winning streak and a resurgent pitching staff. The Mets have ridden sharp outings from their rotation and a bullpen that’s closed out ten straight save chances, helping them climb back into the division race. Both teams are managing lineup absences in the heart of the order, creating a matchup likely driven by pitching and defense rather than big innings.

With both starters capable of missing bats and limiting damage, and key bats missing from either side, this sets up as a tight, low-scoring affair. The Mets are likely to lean on their top arms aggressively, especially as games carry more weight past the halfway point. The under is the smart play here, offering a strong mix of matchup logic and recent trends. Grade this a B for its solid footing and modest value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/06/2025 09:45

Spread Pick - New York Mets, -1.5 (-135): B+

New York rolls into this matchup on a three-game tear, while Washington continues to struggle, having dropped two straight and entering with key pieces missing both in the lineup and the bullpen. The Mets are in a stronger position overall, with fewer injury concerns and the added edge of pitching depth. Their starter has posted strong numbers against this opponent in recent matchups, while the Nationals turn to a veteran left-hander who’s consistently struggled in this ballpark and against this lineup.

Momentum, matchup history, and roster health all tilt toward the home team here. With the visitors still scuffling on the road and short on reliable bullpen arms, the conditions are ripe for the Mets to stretch out a lead. Laying the run and a half makes sense given the price and recent form, and this bet earns a B+ for combining solid probability with better value than the straight moneyline.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/06/2025 09:45

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks