MLB

Nationals vs Brewers

Brewers hunt another win while battered Nats limp in

Washington Nationals

Nationals (38-56) VS Brewers (54-40)

July 13, 2025 | 2:10 PM ET | American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline Pick - Milwaukee Brewers (-240): A-

Milwaukee enters Sunday’s matchup in strong form, looking to extend its lead in the division with another well-rounded performance. Washington, on the other hand, continues to deal with key absences in both the rotation and lineup, which has strained their ability to compete late in games. The Nationals turn to a left-hander who was hit hard by the Brewers in a previous meeting and now faces a lineup that has been building momentum. Milwaukee’s edge on the mound is reinforced by their starter’s solid track record against Washington, and the overall pitching advantage should give them a firm grip on game flow. Despite one key reliever still out, the Brewers’ deeper rotation and defensive efficiency put them in a strong position to capitalize.

From a betting standpoint, this one tilts clearly toward the favorite. It’s not just about who’s healthier—it’s about which club is better positioned to sustain pressure over nine innings. Even at a steeper price, Milwaukee’s combination of matchup history, current trajectory, and urgency in the standings makes them the right pick. If the bullpen holds and the starter performs as expected, this bet shapes up as a smart call.

This prediction gets an A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/07/2025 at 9:20am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-110): B

Sunday’s matchup leans toward a pitcher’s duel, with Milwaukee sending out a starter riding a scoreless streak and Washington struggling to manufacture offense. The Nationals have managed just 10 total runs over their last five games, and their current lineup is hindered by lingering injuries that limit both speed and power options. Milwaukee, while playing with urgency to stay atop the NL Central, may find scoring in bunches a challenge against a left-hander who has historically limited their bats. Despite the Brewers’ edge on the mound and in overall form, the ingredients suggest a low-scoring game is more likely than a blowout.

From a betting perspective, this total feels a bit high given the current trajectories of both offenses and the recent pitching trends. Milwaukee may have the upper hand, but Washington’s starter has done well to keep their bats in check outside of one slugger. With both teams potentially leaning on their starters deeper into the game and neither lineup profiling as explosive right now, the Under becomes the smart pick. This isn’t the spot to expect fireworks.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/07/2025 at 9:21am

Spread Pick - Washington Nationals, +1.5 (-110): B-

Milwaukee continues to push through the summer schedule with postseason implications in mind, but they do so without two key arms and against a Washington team that has quietly played competitive baseball in recent weeks. The Brewers’ recent win streak signals consistency, but not dominance—especially with a starter whose recent ERA raises red flags. Washington, meanwhile, has leaned on bullpen depth and timely hitting to stay within striking distance, and their relief corps has performed among the league’s best since early June. The Brewers may be the more urgent team, but urgency doesn’t always equal separation on the scoreboard.

This sets up well for a value play on the run line. Tight playoff races often lead to close finishes, and Washington’s recent trend of covering narrow spreads reflects that tension. The +1.5 line offers insurance in what projects as a one- or two-run contest, especially if Milwaukee doesn’t get a long outing from their starter. With bullpen strength favoring the underdog late, this pick checks out from both a matchup and momentum standpoint. One run might just be enough.

This prediction gets an B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/07/2025 at 9:22am

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