MLB

Nationals vs Brewers

Can D.C.’s bats dent Brew City’s buzz?

Washington Nationals

Nationals (38-55) VS Brewers (53-40)

Jul 12 2025 | 4:10 PM ET | American Family Field, Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline Pick – Milwaukee Brewers (-267): B

Milwaukee enters this matchup playing confident baseball, having strung together several wins while returning to home turf. The Brewers’ starting pitching has been effective lately, especially in day games, and their bullpen recently got a key piece back to help close out tight contests. With playoff positioning on their minds and a solid home record in their back pocket, they look well-positioned to handle a visiting Washington team that’s struggled to keep pace offensively and on the mound.

Washington, meanwhile, continues to face roster limitations and hasn’t found consistent form on either side of the ball. Their lineup depth has taken a hit, and pitching health remains a question mark. Against a sharper, healthier Milwaukee club that tends to capitalize on favorable matchups, the visitors are up against it. While laying a big price isn’t always ideal, the edge in momentum, depth, and late-inning reliability makes this pick a solid lean toward the home side.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 10:34am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5, (-115): B

ilwaukee enters this mid-July matinee on a strong defensive run, anchored by a rotation that’s quietly become one of the most efficient in the league since the break. The Brewers’ staff has stifled opponents with sharp command and timely strikeouts, and that pattern should hold against a Washington lineup that’s struggled to string together much run production. With both teams dealing with minor injury concerns and Milwaukee pushing to stay relevant in the division race, run prevention figures to stay the focal point.

Washington’s starting arm comes in with swing-and-miss stuff, particularly effective against right-handed-heavy lineups like Milwaukee’s. And with neither squad boasting a full-strength batting order, every scoring chance could be treated with heightened caution. Add in the fact that both bullpens have been solid of late, and the game script leans toward a tight, low-scoring duel from start to finish. With playoff implications lurking more for one side than the other, the intensity should be high, but crooked numbers likely stay off the board.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 10:35am

Spread Pick - Washington Nationals, +1.5 (+100): B

Washington may be stuck in a multi-game slide, but the nature of those losses—mostly one-run affairs—suggests a team still competing hard despite the record. That keeps this prediction tight as the Nationals head into Milwaukee facing a Brewers squad on a four-game upswing, though one that’s been padded by similarly narrow margins. Key absences on the Milwaukee side, including middle-order contributors, shift the offensive balance slightly toward the visitors, especially in a matchup between two evenly matched bullpens.

The Nationals’ lineup remains mostly intact, and their ability to hang around in tight games has been consistent even in defeat. Milwaukee, though playing sharp baseball, hasn’t exactly blown opponents away, and that matters in a contest where one or two swings could decide the spread. With both clubs deep into the season and managing fatigue and playoff urgency differently, taking the run-and-a-half on the road side gives solid value without needing an outright upset.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 12/07/2025 at 10:36am

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