MLB

Nationals vs Cubs

Cubs eye another late-season roar as Nats limp in

Washington Nationals

Nationals (56-84) VS Cubs (81-60)

Sep 07, 2025 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-195): B

Chicago enters with both form and roster advantages that make them the stronger side. Their lineup has multiple bats producing in favorable splits, and with Washington potentially down both a rotation piece and a key catcher, the Nationals’ depth takes another hit. Add in the Cubs’ bullpen alignment, where their closer and setup arms are rested, and the late innings tilt heavily toward the home side protecting any lead. With Washington slumping and struggling to generate offense, the conditions align squarely with Chicago controlling this matchup.

From a betting perspective, Chicago on the moneyline is the sharper play, even at a steep price. Their superior form, healthier roster, and home-field advantage outweigh the lack of betting value. While the juice trims the ceiling on this spot, the Cubs remain the practical side given the matchup context.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 07/10/2025 at 9:20am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5, (-115): B+

This matchup shapes up as a low-scoring affair with both pitching setups and environmental factors working against run production. Chicago’s starter has been in excellent form and has a history of success against Washington, while the Nationals’ offense has struggled to generate much of anything during their recent skid. Even though Washington’s starter may not work deep, the bullpen has been steadier of late, and Wrigley’s forecasted crosswind should further suppress long-ball damage. With both teams locked into meaningful games, a slower, playoff-like tempo adds another layer to the under outlook.

From a betting perspective, the under is the sharper play. Between the form of Chicago’s rotation piece, Washington’s quietly competent bullpen, and weather suppressing carry, the conditions lean toward a capped total. Even with offensive chances, run conversion is likely to lag, keeping this contest contained.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 07/10/2025 at 9:24am

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, -1.5 (-105): B

Chicago’s setup strongly supports a run-line play, with their ace in form and capable of working deep to minimize bullpen exposure. Washington counters with a spot starter who has struggled in road settings, putting immediate pressure on a Nationals relief corps already thinned by injury. The return of a key switch-hitter bolsters the Cubs’ lineup flexibility, giving them better platoon options and offensive depth. With Chicago chasing ground in the division, urgency further tilts the outlook toward a focused effort at home.

From a betting perspective, Cubs -1.5 is the sharper side. Their track record of converting wins into multi-run margins, paired with Washington’s pitching instability, points toward a clear path for separation. Even if early scoring is modest, Chicago’s lineup and bullpen structure provide multiple avenues to stretch the lead late.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 07/10/2025 at 9:26am

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