NHL

Golden Knights vs Wild

The champs roll the dice; the State of Hockey braces.

Vegas Golden Knights

Golden Knights (50-22-10) VS WIld (45-30-7)

May 1, 2025 | 6:30 PM ET | Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN

Minnesota Wild
Moneyline Pick - Vegas Golden Knights (-170): B

Vegas heads into Game 6 with a chance to close the door on Minnesota, leaning on a roster that blends veteran stability and postseason sharpness. With their captain back in the lineup and a steady defensive core controlling zone exits, the Golden Knights have repeatedly limited Minnesota’s top threats at even strength. The Wild, meanwhile, are battling key injuries on both ends—thin on the blue line and still evaluating the status of major contributors up front—forcing younger players into heavier roles during high-leverage minutes.

Goaltending remains a defining edge: Vegas enters with consistent crease play, while Minnesota’s netminding has yet to stabilize across the series. With home-ice urgency fueling the Wild but special teams and depth tilting toward the visitors, this matchup lines up well for a composed Vegas effort. Lay the modest road juice on a team better positioned in structure and personnel. Grade: B for reliability, bolstered by matchup control and postseason depth.

Over/Under Pick - Over 5.5 (-110): B+

As Game 6 hits St. Paul, Vegas and Minnesota bring contrasting strengths that could ignite the scoreboard. The Knights remain without a key top-six center, which stretches their bottom lines but opens more offensive zone time for their top pairing to generate volume. On the other side, the Wild are still missing their defensive anchor, which leaves their blue line exposed against a Vegas team that thrives off cycle chances and cross-slot movement.

Kaprizov and Boldy have consistently found daylight in this matchup, and neither goalie enters on dominant form—Vegas’ starter owns a sub-.900 save rate on the road, and Minnesota’s netminder has struggled to track high-danger chances in this series. With seeding implications looming but neither team facing elimination, expect open ice, full-length shifts from offensive stars, and late-game push from both sides. Backing the Over at 5.5 carries strong value in a game unlikely to stay quiet.

Puckline Pick - Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (-158): B+

With the series shifting to Game 6, Vegas arrives with its core contributors producing and its goaltending trending strong. The Wild remain without their top offensive weapon due to injury, which puts added pressure on an aging netminder and a thinned-out forward group that’s struggled to capitalize when trailing early. Vegas, by contrast, rolls in with balanced scoring across its top six and a defensive core that has contained Minnesota’s transition game effectively throughout the matchup.

Historically, the Knights have dictated play in this head-to-head, covering the puckline in five of their last six meetings, and the current goaltending contrast only reinforces that edge. With the Wild’s struggles when falling behind at home and Vegas’ urgency to lock down the series, a two-goal margin feels well within reach. Lay the puckline at a manageable price—this one shapes up as a calculated push, not a coin flip.

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