Vanderbilt vs Saint Mary's
One squad seeks redemption, the other hungers for dominance

Commodores (8-10-20-12) VS Gaels (17-1-28-5)
Mar 21, 2025 | 3:15 PM ET | T-Mobile Center

Saint Mary’s comes in dropping their last game of the regular season after an eight-game surge, while Vanderbilt has dropped its last three and hopes to snap the skid against a formidable foe. With Vanderbilt’s veteran guard nursing an ankle injury, the Commodores could struggle to control the paint against the Gaels’ aggressive frontcourt. Historically, Saint Mary’s sharpshooter Augustas Marciulionis has torched Vanderbilt, notching double-digit points in five consecutive meetings. The Gaels at -190 offer a modest but appealing payout, earning a solid B+ grade for this prediction.
Vanderbilt’s veteran guard, recovering from a nagging ankle tweak, sets the tone for a squad that has dropped its last three contests, complicating their offensive output against a Saint Mary’s group boasting an eight-game surge. With a key forward from the Gaels nursing a shoulder issue, plus the memory of several cold shooting nights in head-to-head matchups, both teams may see slower scoring stretches in this anticipated clash. Saint Mary’s leading scorer historically torched the Commodores, yet a recent slump in his perimeter accuracy could keep this total manageable. Taking the Under at 135.5 angles for a viable return on a moderate bet, and the likelihood of cashing in here earns a B+ grade.
Saint Mary’s guard Paulius Murauskas looks sharp heading into this matchup, with the Gaels enjoying a noteworthy eight-game winning streak compared to Vanderbilt’s struggles, having dropped their last three contests. Historically, the Gaels have dominated home games against teams from stronger conferences, demonstrating consistent lockdown defense that slows down perimeter-reliant offenses. Backing Saint Mary’s at -4.5 (-105) earns a solid A due to favorable momentum and a tempting payout if the prediction comes through.
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