MLB

Blue Jays vs Yankees

Bronx bombers look to ground Toronto’s late-season surge.

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays (82-59) VS Yankees (78-63)

Sep 07 2025 | 1:35 PM ET | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

New York Yankees
Moneyline Pick - New York Yankees (-160): B

New York enters this matchup with pitching and momentum advantages that make them the more reliable side. Their ace has consistently handled this opponent, while Toronto’s starter has been more hittable in this ballpark. The Yankees’ bullpen is not only rested but performing at an elite level, providing additional security if the game is close late. With their lineup back in rhythm and the Blue Jays potentially short-handed due to injury, the situational edge leans heavily toward the home team.

From a betting standpoint, Yankees -160 on the moneyline is the sharper play. While the price is on the steeper side, the combination of rotation stability, bullpen form, and matchup history supports laying the juice. The balance of trends and health makes New York the safer and more practical choice.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 07/10/2025 at 9:20am

Over/Under Pick - Over 8.5 (-120): B+

This matchup tilts toward offense, with both lineups featuring stars well-positioned against opposing pitching. The recent bullpen strain from doubleheaders puts added weight on middle relief, creating more opportunities for runs once starters exit. Environmental factors also favor hitters, with warm air and a helpful breeze pushing fly balls further in a stadium already conducive to power. Both teams have been involved in higher-scoring games lately, and the underlying trends align with another over-friendly outcome.

From a betting perspective, the over is the sharper play. The combination of lineup strengths, taxed bullpens, and weather-enhanced conditions points toward sustained run production on both sides. Even if one starter holds early, late-inning volatility should carry the total upward.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 07/10/2025 at 9:22am

Spread Pick - Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-160): B-

Toronto’s profile supports a run-line angle, with their knack for thriving in tight games and a proven back-end anchor now back in the bullpen. Their ability to keep contests within striking distance is further emphasized by how often recent head-to-heads have ended with narrow margins. On the other side, New York still carries some roster uncertainty in the infield, which could limit late-game insurance runs. While the Yankees remain the stronger overall side, the structure of this matchup suggests Toronto can stay inside the number.

From a betting perspective, Blue Jays +1.5 is the sharper play. Their strong record in one-run outcomes, paired with the return of their closer and historical trends in the rivalry, makes the run of insurance worth the juice. Even if New York edges out a win, the likelihood of a slim margin keeps this position viable.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 07/10/2025 at 9:15am

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