MLB

Blue Jays vs Yankees

Pinstripes, maple bats, and a line you can bank on.

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays (81-59) VS Yankees (77-62)

Sep 05, 2025 | 7:05 p.m. ET | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

New York Yankees
Moneyline Pick - Toronto Blue Jays (115): B+

Toronto comes in with momentum and situational edges that make them a live underdog against New York. The Yankees remain short-handed in the middle of their order and continue to search for stability atop the rotation, leaving room for vulnerability even at home. Toronto’s lineup has recently found its rhythm, and with a rested bullpen behind them, the visitors have the tools to keep pressure on late. In a game shaped as much by health and form as venue, the prediction leans toward the Blue Jays carrying enough balance to justify the plus-money tag.

From a betting perspective, Toronto is the sharper pick given the price and matchup context. New York’s inconsistencies offensively, combined with questions surrounding their pitching anchor, make laying juice less appealing in this spot. Meanwhile, Toronto’s combination of offensive timing and bullpen depth provides a clear path to an upset. It’s a bet built on context rather than streaks alone, making the visitors the side with more value in this matchup.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 05/10/2025 at 9:26am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5, (100): B+

Two strong rotations supported by reliable bullpens shape this matchup into a game more likely decided by pitching than offense. Toronto’s starter has been in form, consistently limiting damage in recent outings, while New York’s ace, even without peak velocity, still profiles as capable of keeping the lineup in check for multiple turns. With both clubs ranking among the league’s better relief units, crooked innings become less probable once the game moves to the late frames. Add in cooler September conditions at Yankee Stadium reducing ball carry, and the setup leans firmly toward a suppressed run environment.

For bettors, the under is the sharper pick, as the combination of pitching strength, ballpark conditions, and lineup limitations on both sides points to a lower total. Toronto’s road production has been steady but not overpowering, while New York’s offense has been hampered by lingering health issues for its centerpiece. Even if one team strings together a rally, the overall context favors a scoreline that stays beneath the market number. This prediction rests on consistency and conditions, making the under the practical bet.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 05/10/2025 at 9:28am

Spread Pick - Toronto Blue Jays, +1.5 (-190): B

This rivalry has consistently produced tight outcomes, with recent history showing a clear pattern of one-run finishes. Toronto’s bullpen has been reliable in late-game spots, giving them the tools to keep contests close even when trailing. New York, still working through lineup gaps without a key power bat, has not always been able to create separation, particularly against teams that match their pitching depth. With both sides treating each game as crucial in the postseason chase, the prediction leans toward another narrow result where the extra cushion carries value.

From a betting perspective, taking Toronto at +1.5 is the sharper pick, as it plays directly into the long-standing trend of close contests between these clubs. Even if New York manages to secure the win at home, the probability of a one-run margin remains high, giving the run line strong appeal. It’s a bet based on repeatable patterns and late-inning stability rather than momentum alone, making it the practical choice for this matchup.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 05/10/2025 at 9:30am

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