MLB
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
Red-hot Jays look to keep Sox cold at Fenway

Toronto Blue Jays
Blue Jays (7-5) VS Red Sox (6-6)
April 10, 2025 | 4:10 PM ET | Fenway Park, Boston

Boston Red Sox
Moneyline Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (-105) - Grade B
The Jays are rolling into Fenway on a two-game win streak, and with the Red Sox having dropped their last two, momentum clearly favors the visiting club. Toronto’s offense has been heating up, anchored by the reliable bat of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who owns a .311 career average against Boston pitching and has already logged four multi-hit games this season. Meanwhile, Boston’s pitching staff remains shaky—especially with closer Kenley Jansen still sidelined due to shoulder inflammation—creating vulnerability in close contests. Toronto's Chris Bassitt, who’s historically pitched well in Boston (2.89 ERA in four career appearances at Fenway), matches up favorably against a Sox lineup that has struggled with runners in scoring position during this current skid. While it’s still early in the season and postseason implications are minimal, this matchup presents solid value with nearly even odds for the hotter team. Recommendation: Bet Toronto on the moneyline, but cap exposure moderately due to volatile early-season form. Grade: B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/04/2025 04:59
Over/Under Pick: Over 9, (-110) - Grade: B+
Coming off a two-game heater, the Blue Jays are flying high into Fenway, while the Sox are trying to shake off a two-game skid that’s emphasized their bullpen struggles. With Boston’s Garrett Whitlock still on the IL and key reliever Greg Weissert continuing to be overutilized, Toronto’s potent lineup—anchored by the scorching Vladimir Guerrero Jr.—looks primed to feast in a hitter-friendly park. On the flip side, Red Sox sluggers Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have historically tagged left-hander Yusei Kikuchi, who toes the rubber for the Jays. Both teams’ recent series have routinely hit double-digit totals, and with neither side boasting shutdown arms right now, another high-scoring tilt feels like a strong possibility. Considering both clubs have teased offensive streaks and the bullpens remain shaky, taking the over 9 runs comes with decent upside, especially with mild weather and wind blowing out at Fenway. Grade: B+ for high hit potential and fair value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/04/2025 04:59
Spread Pick: Toronto Blue Jays, -1 (-111) - Grade: B
After two straight losses, Boston finds themselves reeling, while the Blue Jays soar into Fenway with a two-game win streak and standout play from Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who’s historically hit well in the bandbox confines of Fenway Park. The Sox are without Trevor Story again due to lingering arm issues, and his absence leaves a defensive and offensive gap in the middle infield that's been exploited over their current skid. Meanwhile, Chris Bassitt is set to start for the Jays and brings a 3.00 ERA into the game—he's held Boston to a .230 average across past matchups. Tanner Houck counters for the BoSox but has struggled against right-handed power bats like Bo Bichette, who’s been heating up with a .355 average in his last five games. Toronto, while not a lock, holds the edge in momentum, health, and matchup quality. Laying -1 is risky on the road, but the Red Sox lineup is too inconsistent right now and lacking depth behind Rafael Devers. At near-even odds, the spread leans into value but deserves a cautious B-grade rating. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/04/2025 04:59
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