MLB

Blue Jays vs Orioles

Camden crowd braces for a feathery fight that tips northward

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays (62-42) VS Orioles (45-58)

Jul 28, 2025 | 6:35 p.m. ET | Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles
Moneyline Pick - Toronto Blue Jays (-125): B

Toronto enters this matchup riding a wave of strong play, while Baltimore looks to regroup after recent struggles. The contrast in form is underscored by a bullpen edge that favors the visitors, who are operating with a healthier late-inning crew. With one side pressing for postseason seeding and the other likely playing out the stretch, urgency could tilt key moments. Add in a visiting lineup that’s had previous success in this ballpark, and the sharper side of the matchup becomes more clear.

This sets up well for a pick that leans on sustained momentum and situational depth. Even with both clubs showing occasional flashes at the plate, the overall edge in pitching and consistency favors the road team. That modest moneyline price feels justified given the context—particularly if the hosts struggle to manufacture runs in the later frames. It’s not a runaway call, but it’s one with enough value and supporting trends to back confidently.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 28/07/2025 at 9:32am

Over/Under Pick - Under 9.5, (-115): B+

Two AL East rivals meet with playoff implications on the line, as Toronto enters with momentum behind a starter coming off a dominant outing, while Baltimore looks to steady itself after a recent skid. Both clubs are missing offensive spark due to lingering injuries, and the current form suggests neither side will erupt for crooked numbers. With both rotations supported by reliable late-inning arms, the game shapes up to be dictated by pitching and defense rather than power surges.

Given the combination of top-shelf bullpen depth, key bats sidelined, and recent scoring trends that favor the under, it’s reasonable to expect a lower-tempo contest. The urgency for the visiting side as a postseason contender may push aggressive managerial moves, while the home team settles into a spoiler role that can still punch above its weight when pitching clicks. With the total hovering around 9.5, the safer bet leans toward fewer runs in a controlled, competitive matchup.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 28/07/2025 at 9:30am

Spread Pick - Baltimore Orioles, +1.5 (-145): B+

Baltimore enters this contest looking to snap a tough stretch of close losses, and with a resurgent Grayson Rodriguez anchoring a pitching staff that’s been sharp at home lately, they’re well-positioned to keep this one tight. The visiting Blue Jays have been winning consistently but mostly by narrow margins, and a few key health questions—especially around bullpen reliability and top-of-order explosiveness—introduce late-inning volatility. In a matchup with clear playoff implications, the details matter, and the extra run and a half provides some valuable breathing room.

Given how evenly these teams have played in recent meetings and the Orioles’ track record of keeping things within striking distance, this bet makes sense. It leans more on game flow than dominance, banking on a competitive tilt rather than one-sided control. With playoff stakes high and both squads capable of scratching out runs in small doses, backing the cushion feels like the right call for bettors looking to blend safety with value.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 28/07/2025 at 9:34am

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