CBB

The Citadel vs VMI

Keydets geared up to make their odds count

The Citadel

Bulldogs (0-18-5-24) VS Keydets (7-11-13-18)

03/07/2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Cameron Hall

VMI
Moneyline Pick: VMI (-260) - B+

VMI strides confidently into this matchup having won its last couple of contests, though they are monitoring their starting guard (G), who remains questionable after tweaking his ankle earlier in the week [1]. The Citadel, in contrast, endures an extended slump and is grappling with the absence of a key center (C), leaving them vulnerable on both ends of the court. Historically, VMI’s standout forward has consistently dismantled The Citadel’s defense, making him a focal threat yet again. With both teams well beyond 41 games, the outcome here could significantly influence late-season positioning, and this selection earns a B+ grade for its solid likelihood of payoff versus risk.

Over/Under Pick: Over 140, (-110) - B+


VMI enters this matchup on a mild upswing, eager to extend its incremental winning streak, while The Citadel’s ongoing skid hints at a desperate push to break the slump. One of The Citadel’s key starters has been sidelined with a lingering foot injury, weakening their transition defense and opening the door for a faster pace of play. On the other side, VMI’s high-scoring guard has historically posted above-average numbers in head-to-head battles with the Bulldogs, showcasing his knack for outpacing defenders in critical moments. With both teams motivated to snap or sustain their streaks, the Over on 140 garners a B+ for its strong likelihood of success and a healthy potential payout (internal team data).

Spread Pick: The Citadel, +6 (-110) - B
The Citadel’s starters, confirmed to be active per team rosters, look fired up despite enduring a lengthy losing streak that has stretched through multiple conference matchups, while VMI has managed a handful of victories but recently dropped a couple of tough games that halted any momentum they built earlier. One notable Keydet forward is sidelined with a nagging ankle injury, potentially allowing The Citadel’s frontcourt to assert itself more than anticipated. Historically, The Citadel has not fared well in Lexington, yet their current determined approach—along with VMI’s shaky interior defense—points to The Citadel staying within this spread. Assigning this pick a solid B grade reflects moderate confidence in both the likelihood of a cover and a solid return if it hits.
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