MLB

Rays vs Marlins

Sunshine State duel favors visitors riding a quiet current

Tampa Bay Rays

Rays (19-23) VS Marlins (16-26)

May 16, 2025 | 7:10 p.m. ET | loanDepot park, Miami

Miami Marlins
Moneyline Pick - Tampa Bay Rays (-105): B+

The Rays are riding a decent win, while the Marlins limp into this matchup having dropped seven of their last ten games. Miami's rotation remains depleted, forcing their starter to take on an outsized workload against a Rays offense that has historically hit him well. On the other side, the Rays send out a reliable arm with strong past performances against Miami, and their bullpen—now fully reinforced—offers a clear edge in late-game scenarios.

With Tampa Bay showing more momentum and depth on both the mound and in the lineup, this near-even moneyline leans toward the Rays as the value side. It’s not a blowout spot, but the form and supporting cast favor Tampa, making them the smarter play in this toss-up.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/05/2025 09:52

Over/Under Pick - Over 8, (-110): B

The Rays enter this matchup playing .500 ball, while the Marlins have just snapped a skid of their own but still rank among the worst in the National League in team ERA—a combination that sets the stage for a potential high-scoring affair. Tampa Bay’s rotation depth remains an issue, pushing more responsibility onto a bullpen that has struggled with the long ball recently. Miami starts a lefty who has historically underperformed against the Rays, and their own relief staff is missing key late-inning pieces, further weakening their ability to hold leads.

With both teams leaning heavily on shaky bullpens and neither able to afford wasted opportunities this deep into the season, expect aggressive pitching changes and a steady parade of arms. Combine that with some pop remaining in both lineups and the hitter-friendly conditions under the closed roof at loanDepot Park, and the over looks like the most dependable angle here.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/05/2025 09:53

Spread Pick - Tampa Bay Rays, -1.5 (-150): B

Tampa Bay brings some momentum into this matchup with a modest 3-2 run in their last five games, while Miami continues to slide, having dropped seven of their last ten. The Marlins are still without key starters in their rotation, putting extra weight on their right-handed starter to contain a Rays offense that has consistently capitalized in this matchup. Tampa’s bullpen has held up well recently, offering a layer of stability that Miami’s struggling relief corps simply hasn’t matched, particularly in late-game situations.

The run-line here leans toward the Rays, and while the odds aren’t exactly generous, the edge is clear if their lineup continues to deliver. With one team climbing and the other limping, the spread feels like a smart way to bet the trajectory—not the team names.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/05/2025 09:53

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