MLB

Rays vs Athletics

West-coast duel where slumps, swings and sore arms steer the value

Tampa Bay Rays

Rays (57-61) VS Athletics (52-67)

11 Aug 2025 | 10:05 p.m. ET | Oakland Coliseum

Athletics
Moneyline Pick - Tampa Bay Rays (-105): A

Tampa Bay enters with a slight uptick in form and faces an Oakland team struggling to produce runs consistently. Even with a bullpen game on tap due to rotation injuries, the Rays have the depth to navigate multiple arms effectively, especially against an offense that has been quiet over the past week. Oakland’s starter has had trouble working deep, which could expose their own bullpen earlier than desired. Given the matchup, Tampa Bay’s offensive ceiling and pitching depth give them an edge despite the unconventional approach on the mound.

From a betting perspective, backing Tampa Bay on the Moneyline makes sense. The Athletics’ recent scoring drought, coupled with their struggles in key individual matchups, increases the likelihood of the Rays controlling this game. While not without some volatility given the bullpen setup, the value still tilts toward the visitors in this spot.

This prediction gets an A grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/08/2025 at 9:32am

Over/Under Pick - Over 9.5 (-120): B+

Both pitching staffs enter with shaky bullpen metrics since the break, creating a favorable backdrop for late-inning scoring. Key hitters on each side are producing extra-base hits consistently, adding punch to lineups that could take advantage of fatigued arms. The starting pitchers’ history on shorter rest has leaned toward higher totals, and with playoff urgency influencing managerial decisions, starters may be left in longer even if trouble arises. While cooler night conditions can suppress carry, the overall matchup still points toward offensive opportunities throughout the game.

From a betting perspective, the over fits the profile here. Vulnerable relief corps, in-form bats, and historical trends on short rest all line up with expectations for a higher-scoring contest. Even if the early innings start slowly, the potential for middle- and late-game runs makes the total attainable.

This prediction gets an B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/08/2025 at 9:34am

Spread Pick - Oakland Athletics, +1.5 (-194): C+

Oakland has been dependable in keeping games close at home, regularly covering the run line even when coming up short in the standings. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, has often struggled to win by wide margins, particularly without its regular closer to lock down late innings. That combination, along with the Athletics’ strong against-the-spread record as a home underdog, tilts the value toward taking the extra run and a half.

From a betting perspective, the +1.5 on Oakland offers a sturdy cushion in a matchup where both current form and late-game dynamics favor tighter outcomes. Even if Tampa Bay manages to pull out a win, the probability of a one-run margin makes this approach appealing despite the juice.

This prediction gets an C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/08/2025 at 9:36am

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