MLB

Cardinals vs Pirates

Streaking Redbirds Look to Clip Struggling Bucs in Pittsburgh

St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals (3-2) VS Pirates (1-5)

April 7, 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-130) - Grade: B+

Mired in a three-game loss streak, the Redbirds head into PNC Park with momentum and a healthier roster than the reeling Pirates, who have now dropped five straight. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh can't seem to get much going at the plate, even with Bryan Reynolds holding things down in the lineup. While it's still early in the season, this game presents a critical opportunity for St. Louis to build foundational wins as they look to keep pace with the Brewers in the Central. Although the -130 line doesn't present huge value, the Cards' better form, healthier roster, and star-led advantage give this pick a reasonably solid outlook, take the Cardinals at -130 for a modest but reasonably safe payout. Grade: B+. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 8.5, (-110) - Grade: B

Cardinals ace Matthew Libertadore steps into PNC Park Monday riding momentum from a decent season debut, giving the Redbirds confidence as they aim to break a three-game loss streak. Meanwhile, the Bucs are starting the season poorly and look punchless, averaging just 2.0 runs over that span. Without the hot bat of Ke’Bryan Hayes—who remains sidelined with a wrist issue—the Pirates lineup is even thinner. History adds to the low-scoring outlook: Nolan Arenado has traditionally handled lefties like Pérez well, but he's off to a slow start this season, batting just .190. With Pittsburgh’s offensive woes and the Cards likely to play small ball rather than slugfest, this matchup projects closer to a pitching duel than a fireworks show. The Under 8.5 is a prudent lean with a B grade—solid value, though not without some variance danger if the Cards’ bats wake up. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Cardinals, -1.5 (-135) - Grade: B

With Nolan Arenado raking but the Redbirds are on a three-game skid, St. Louis looks poised to cover the -1.5 spread against the reeling Pirates. Pittsburgh is currently on a 3-7 run to start the season, and things aren’t looking up with multiple bullpen injuries. Meanwhile, St. Louis’s offense has started hot, and veteran hurler Matthew Libertadore—who owns a 2.78 ERA over his last five starts against the Buccs—gets the nod on the mound. The Pirates’ lineup has been sputtering, with Ke’Bryan Hayes off to a sluggish start and Bryan Reynolds unable to carry the offensive load alone. With the Cards swinging the bats well and the Bucs continuing to struggle late in games without a reliable bullpen, this game has all the makings of a comfortable road cover for St. Louis. While spread bets in baseball are always risky given the volatility, this one is worth a moderate investment and earns a solid B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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