MLB

Phillies vs Cardinals

Bats boom in Busch—will red-hot Harper silence the redbirds?

St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals (21-19) VS Phillies (23-16)

12 May 2025 | 6:45 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO

Philadelphia Phillies
Moneyline Pick - Philadelphia Phillies (-178): B-

Philadelphia enters this matchup riding back to back wins as they chase down the Mets, while St. Louis has been surging with eight straight wins to close the Cubs' lead in the NL Central to one game. The visiting starter has a strong track record against this lineup, helping to offset the absence of a key contributor from the Phillies’ infield. St. Louis continues to navigate injuries of its own, which have limited their production from the right side and thinned their depth.

With one of the league’s best bullpens backing up a dominant arm on the mound, the Phillies carry enough strength to justify the favorite label despite recent results. While the price is a bit steep, the fundamentals are sound.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:42

Over/Under Pick - Under 8 (-110): B

This matchup shapes up as a classic pitcher's duel, with both teams sending frontline arms to the mound and navigating lineup absences. St. Louis leans on a starter in top form, despite the team’s recent losses, and his career success against Philadelphia’s lineup suggests he can continue to limit damage. On the other side, Philadelphia’s starter enters with momentum and faces a St. Louis offense missing one of its most reliable contact bats and still trying to find rhythm in the middle of the order.

With both bullpens ranking among the league’s most effective and a few notable bats unavailable, scoring should come at a premium. Add in the cautious tendencies that come with early playoff positioning, and the under looks like the sharper play here.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:42

Spread Pick - St. Louis Cardinals, +1.5 (-140): B

St. Louis has built momentum with eight straight series victories, while Philadelphia enters this matchup trying to extend their two game winning streak. With both clubs missing key contributors, the edge in lineup depth slightly favours the Cardinals to cover, especially given their recent consistency at the plate. The pitching matchup also leans in their favor, with their top bats historically faring better against tonight’s opposing starter, while Philadelphia’s top threats have struggled in this spot.

Add in a well-rested and effective St. Louis bullpen against a Phillies relief corps that’s been overworked in tight games, and taking the Cardinals to cover the 1.5 run cushion offers decent value. It’s not without risk, but the setup supports a lean toward the visitors keeping it close.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/05/2025 09:43

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