MLB

Cardinals vs Royals

One hot lefty, one broken bat—Blue reign should follow.

St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals (24-20) VS Royals (25-20)

16 May 2025 | 7:40 p.m. ET | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City

Kansas City Royals
Moneyline Pick - Kansas City Royals (-150): Grade B

Kansas City enters this regional clash on a sour note, having lost four of their last five, but benefits from a dominant lefty on the mound known for missing bats—particularly against this opponent. The Cardinals arrive having lost their big winning streak and a lineup still adjusting without its regular catcher, while their starter is making his first road appearance following a recent health concern. The Royals' bullpen has been one of the best in baseball over the past two weeks, providing a late-game edge that could prove decisive.

The home team holds key advantages on the mound and in the 'pen, and even with some power threats in the opposing lineup, recent slumps have dulled that potential. With Kansas City rolling and welcoming a National League squad that’s struggled in road settings, laying the short price makes sense.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/05/2025 09:55

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5, (-110): B+

Kansas City carries some okay form in their last ten games into this rivalry matchup, while St. Louis looks to rebound after ending their winning streak. On the mound, both starters have been dependable—one thriving at home and the other showing consistency on the road—creating the foundation for a tightly contested, low-scoring affair. Injuries continue to affect both dugouts, with key bullpen and bench pieces unavailable, thinning out options when leverage innings roll around.

Given the strong recent form from both pitchers and limited offensive depth due to injuries, this game sets up for a clean, tempo-driven pace rather than a slugfest. The under looks appealing here, especially with neither team pressing in the standings just yet.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/05/2025 09:55

Spread Pick - Kansas City Royals, +1.5 (-260): B

Kansas City enters this matchup looking good despite a 1-4 run recently, fuelled by momentum and timely offense, while the Cardinals come in looking great, having won nine of their last ten games. Their starter will have to adjust without his usual catcher, and that could tilt things slightly in favor of a Royals team playing with confidence. Kansas City's top lefty has historically held some of the Cardinals' biggest bats in check, and despite a minor shoulder concern with one of their power threats, the lineup remains intact and capable.

St. Louis may boast a deeper roster on paper, but recent bullpen hiccups and road inconsistency open the door for Kansas City to keep things close. Taking the run-and-a-half on the home side offers sneaky value in what figures to be a competitive cross-league tilt.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 16/05/2025 09:55

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