MLB

Cardinals vs Reds April 29 Showdown Pick

Reds look to cash in while Cards search for rhythm.

St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals (12-16) VS Reds (15-13)

29 Apr 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | Great American Ball Park

Cincinnati Reds
Moneyline Pick - Cincinnati Reds (-135): B

Cincinnati welcomes a slumping St. Louis squad that has dropped two in a row, while the Reds ride into this matchup on a five-game win streak with a hefty run differential boosting their confidence. Cincinnati’s starter returns to the mound with extra rest, while St. Louis remains short-handed, missing a key arm in the rotation and a late-inning bullpen piece. The Cardinals send a starter with a rough track record in this ballpark, and although a few bats present some threat, the overall edge leans toward a healthier, deeper Reds lineup that’s gotten timely contributions of late. With Cincinnati strong at home and backed by a bullpen performing at a top-five WHIP level, the -135 line offers fair value, though it's just a touch shy of a full-throttle recommendation.

The Reds definitely seem to have all the arrows pointing up right now, and with St. Louis patching things together on the fly, rolling with Cincinnati at a reasonable price feels like the right call—especially when you can trust the pen to slam the door late.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/04/2025 09:43.

Over/Under Pick - Under 9.5, (+100): B

St. Louis looks to end a two-game slide behind a veteran arm, who carries a less than stellar ERA into a matchup against a Cincinnati lineup still missing key contributors and managing some lingering injuries. The Reds counter with a strikeout-heavy starter who has historically neutralized some of St. Louis' biggest bats. Despite playing in a hitter-friendly park, both teams have leaned toward lower-scoring games recently, with the bullpens on each side combining for excellent ERAs over the past week. With early-season pressure still relatively light and both managers likely to stretch out their starters, the setup points to a tight, low-scoring affair. Taking the Under 9.5 at even money shapes up as a strong value move, earning a solid B grade.

Given how both rotations are set up and the bullpens are clicking, it’s hard not to like the under here. Sure, one big inning could crack it open, but everything about the current form says this one stays a little quieter than usual in Cincinnati.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/04/2025 09:43.

Spread Pick - Cincinnati Reds, -1.5 (-150): B

Cincinnati enters this divisional matchup on a five-game winning streak, while St. Louis looks to rebound after dropping two straight, setting a clear contrast in clubhouse momentum. With key bats still missing for the Cardinals, their starter faces a Reds lineup that has consistently handled his pitch mix well. On the other side, Cincinnati’s lefty starter has historically limited St. Louis' biggest threats and comes in with strong strikeout numbers against this lineup. The Reds also boast a more reliable bullpen, anchored by a closer who’s been flawless in save chances recently, while the Cardinals’ relief struggles continue. With Cincinnati thriving at home and offensive conditions looking favorable, laying the 1.5 runs at moderate juice earns a B grade for offering solid probability without being a perfect slam dunk.

It’s tough to pass on a team this hot, especially with the bullpen edge and the ball flying a little better in the warmer air. Sure, NL Central games can get wild, but riding the Reds at home just feels like the right side here.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/04/2025 09:44

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks