MLB

Cardinals vs White Sox

South Side matinee favors the birds with sharper claws

St. Louis Cardinals

Cardinals (38-35) VS White Sox (23-50)

June 19 2025 | 2:10 PM ET | Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago

Chicago White Sox
Moneyline Pick - St. Louis Cardinals (-140): B

St. Louis stays in Chicago looking to bounce back after snapping a big losing streak and appears poised to extend that momentum behind a proven starter facing a struggling White Sox squad. Chicago has dropped seven of its last ten and remains without two key offensive contributors, while the Cardinals’ only notable absence is behind the plate. Since the start of June, St. Louis has quietly climbed to seventh in the NL in runs scored, giving them a meaningful edge in lineup production. As the season nears its midpoint, the visitors look more complete and better positioned to control this matchup from the mound and at the plate.

Even at home, Chicago hasn’t found much stability—especially in the bullpen, which has allowed a league-worst 5.46 ERA over the last 20 games. That kind of late-inning vulnerability is hard to overlook, particularly against a team trending upward with postseason aspirations. With advantages in form, reliability, and recent production, the Cardinals feel like the right bet in this spot.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/06/2025 09:40

Over/Under Pick - Under 8, (-115): B

A righty starter for St. Louis, who tossed five scoreless frames in the Dodgers earlier in June, comes in to face a White Sox lineup still missing two key bats and struggling to generate consistent offence. Chicago ranks near the bottom of the AL in OPS and is riding a six-game skid, while the Cardinals have leaned into a more cautious, run-suppressing approach lately. The home side counters with a fairly reliable right-hander, and with the season approaching the midpoint, only St. Louis maintains legitimate Wild Card ambitions. That added urgency, paired with current lineup trends, sets the stage for a low-scoring battle.

The recent three-game under streak for St. Louis suggests this is shaping up as a bullpen-heavy grind rather than a slugfest. With both offences trending cold and late-inning depth likely to define the tempo, backing the Under at –115 makes sense. It’s not flashy, but it checks out from a value and matchup standpoint.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/06/2025 09:40

Spread Pick - Chicago White Sox, +1.5 (-135): B-

A surprisingly solid season from Chicago’s young righty gives the home side just enough spark to feel confident taking the run line against a Cardinals team that’s looking to bounce back from a poor run of form. Chicago has welcomed back a key outfield bat and now features a bullpen that’s quietly produced a 2.88 ERA over the past week. The extra 1.5-run cushion looks even more appealing with St. Louis’ top right-handed hitter struggling against lefties this month, further tilting value toward the home underdog.

Nearing the midpoint the season, St. Louis sits in the middle of a tightly packed NL Wild Card chase, which likely means early bullpen usage from their high-leverage arms. That opens the door for late scoring opportunities if Chicago can hang around. In a game that could come down to a single run either way, taking the juiced run line looks like a smart call.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/06/2025 09:40

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks