NHL

Blues vs Jets Moneyline Pick

Home ice, healthy core, heavy favorite—fly with the Jets.

St. Louis Blues

Blues (44-30-8) VS Jets (56-22-4)

04/30/2025 | 9:30 PM ET | Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Winnipeg Jets
Moneyline Pick - Winnipeg Jets (-170): B

Both clubs enter this matchup on the heels of a win, but the home side holds the edge thanks to steadier goaltending and a healthier top six. While the visiting squad may again be without a key blue-line contributor, the hosts boast one of the league’s stingiest defenses—especially on home ice—where they’ve consistently shut down high-danger looks. That defensive structure pairs well with a top line that has feasted in this matchup historically, and with playoff seeding still on the line, urgency works in their favor.

The visitors remain in the thick of the wild-card chase, but their recent road form and goaltending volatility make them tough to back at this price. Even with a bit of juice on the home side, the numbers check out—elite defensive metrics, postseason motivation, and a clean bill of health make a moneyline play on the home team a solid, if not flashy, pick. Grade: B for reliability, tempered only by the chalky odds.

Over/Under Pick - Under 5.5 (-115): B

Two Central Division rivals square off in a game where defensive structure and goaltending are likely to dominate the storyline. Both teams enter with contrasting short-term form—one riding a recent win streak, the other seeking to end a brief slump—but neither side is expected to light up the scoreboard. Key absences on both rosters limit offensive ceiling, and top-line talent will have to contend with tightly packed neutral-zone play typical of late-season playoff pushes.

Goaltending remains the swing factor, with each starter showcasing elite numbers over recent weeks. Add in the playoff implications and physical fatigue that often shrinks ice in April matchups, and the ingredients point clearly toward a low-scoring affair. Backing the under 5.5 goals feels like the smart lean here, grading out at a firm B+ for situational value and likelihood.

Puckline Pick - Winnipeg Jets, -1.5 (-158): B+

One team enters this clash riding a red-hot win streak with strong goaltending and a secure postseason position, while the other stumbles in having dropped several straight and facing depth concerns on both ends of the ice. The hosts have been dominant at home all season, and their offensive catalysts continue to generate chances against a defense that's been pushed to its limits. With one side playing for playoff positioning and the other simply trying to stay alive, the motivation mismatch becomes critical.

Factor in a significant home goal differential, fresh legs, and elite-level netminding, and the conditions look primed for a multi-goal result. Even if things stay tight through two periods, late pressure and the empty-net scenario boost the value of the puckline. Lay the -1.5 at -158—it’s not a slam dunk, but it’s a solid B+ grade bet with playoff implications adding extra push.

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