MLB

Mariners vs Yankees

Bronx bombast or Pacific punch? One streak’s getting sunk tonight.

Seattle Mariners

Mariners (48-42) VS Yankees (49-41)

Jul 09, 2025 | 7:05 p.m. ET | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

New York Yankees
Moneyline Pick - Seattle Mariners (+122): B

Seattle heads to the Bronx with momentum and a favorable matchup as the season shifts into its back half. Despite a late pitching change, the Mariners have a dependable arm ready to go and a bullpen that’s been more consistent than New York’s lately. The Yankees return home dealing with a handful of lineup and relief concerns, and recent late-inning struggles have exposed the lack of depth in their bullpen. With both clubs in the thick of the AL Wild Card mix, urgency is high, but Seattle’s recent ability to rally and close out games gives them a slight edge.

This prediction backs the Mariners as a value pick on the road. Their current form and knack for comeback wins make them a strong candidate to deliver again against a Yankees squad that’s looked vulnerable in key spots. While it’s never easy to bet against New York at home, the situational edge and plus-money price make this play worth a look.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/07/2025 at 9:50am

Over/Under Pick - Under 9.5, (-110): B

Seattle arrives in New York with steady form and a mostly intact pitching staff, while the Yankees continue to battle through lineup limitations and recent struggles. With both teams exactly halfway through the season and playoff pressure mounting, this matchup shapes up as a tight, defense-first affair. Both starters have a history of success in this head-to-head and come into the game with trends favoring low run totals. Add in a ballpark environment that won’t do hitters any favors—thanks to cooler temperatures and wind working against the ball—and the setup leans toward a pitchers’ duel.

This prediction leans on the under, with both teams likely to rely on their top arms and keep the bullpen ready for early calls if needed. Neither side is expected to explode offensively given current absences and form, so this pick focuses more on run prevention than power. It’s a bet that fits the setting, the situation, and the strengths of each roster at this stage in the season.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/07/2025 at 9:50am

Spread Pick - Seattle Mariners, +1.5 (-155): B-

New York may have flashed some recent power, but their track record in covering the run line as a favorite remains spotty—especially when pitching depth takes a hit. The absence of rotation stability behind their frontline arms has left them vulnerable in tighter matchups. Seattle, despite coming in on a small slide, still carries one of the league’s most reliable bullpens and has typically fared well in tight games. With key offensive contributors healthy and a strong history of producing at Yankee Stadium, the Mariners are well-positioned to stay close.

This prediction favors Seattle on the run line, banking on a competitive game that doesn’t require an outright win to cash. Given the matchup of a stable rotation piece versus a less-established starter and the Mariners’ ability to lean on elite relief, this bet offers value even with the extra juice. It’s a calculated play on steadier structure over home-field buzz.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/07/2025 at 9:50am

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