MLB

Mariners vs Mets

Broadway Arms, Puget Bats—who blinks first at Citi?

Seattle Mariners

Mariners (67-55) VS Mets (64-57)

16 Aug 2025 | 4:10 PM ET | Citi Field, Queens, NY

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - Seattle Mariners (-130): A-

Seattle enters this matchup with a distinct edge on the mound and in late-inning reliability, as their bullpen has ranked among the league’s best since the break. The Mariners’ offense has been inconsistent at times, but their ability to manufacture runs through timely hitting and patience plays well against opponents with shaky middle relief. With both teams still jostling in the postseason race, Seattle’s pitching depth and steadier late-game execution give them the advantage, making the moneyline a worthy pick.

From a betting standpoint, this play leans on the Mariners’ proven formula: quality starts backed by elite bullpen support. Even if the bats don’t explode, their ability to keep opponents contained often tilts games in their favor. In a matchup likely to hinge on run prevention, Seattle’s staff depth provides the higher floor, giving confidence in backing them outright.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 16/08/2025 at 9:10am

Over/Under Pick - Over 8.5 (-110): B

With two starters capable of working deep but both bullpens showing signs of strain, this matchup sets up for late scoring that could push the total over. New York’s relief corps has been especially leaky in recent outings, and Seattle’s has carried a heavy workload, making it difficult for either side to fully lock things down. Add in warm August weather and a breeze that favors right-handed power, and both lineups have the conditions to convert hard contact into runs, making the Over the sharper side for this pick.

From a betting perspective, the angle rests on a combination of environmental factors and bullpen vulnerability. Even if the starting pitchers keep the game in check early, the middle and late innings carry high volatility, especially with multiple proven power bats ready to capitalize on mistakes. With the total sitting at 8.5, the setup points toward scoring clusters that can swing the number upward, offering bettors value on the Over.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 16/08/2025 at 9:12am

Spread Pick - New York Mets, +1.5 (-155): B+

New York’s profile as a team that thrives in close contests makes the run-line cushion appealing here. Their strong record in one-run games highlights their ability to stay competitive, and with their closer back in the fold, late-inning stability improves despite recent bullpen struggles. Seattle has been less effective against left-handed starters, and with their ace often involved in narrow outcomes on the road, this matchup leans toward another tight finish—making the plus-run side a sensible pick.

From a betting perspective, the value comes from combining New York’s knack for hanging close with the matchup trends against Seattle. Even if the visitors ultimately prevail, the Mets’ situational strengths—contact hitting, bullpen reinforcement, and late-game competitiveness—provide a strong foundation for covering the 1.5. At the listed price, the protection feels justified in a game likely to be decided by slim margins.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 16/08/2025 at 9:14am

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