MLB

Mariners vs Cubs

Castillo aims to quiet Wrigley, but bats decide fate

Seattle Mariners

Mariners (38-36) VS Cubs (45-30)

June 22, 2025 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Seattle Mariners (-115): B-

Seattle heads into Sunday’s matchup at Wrigley looking to find some positive momentum, and the starting pitching matchup provides a potential edge. The Mariners send a dependable arm to the mound who’s held the Cubs in check historically, while Chicago is without its top starter due to injury. Though the Cubs have won three of their last five and hold some matchup advantages at the plate, control issues from their current starter could give Seattle opportunities to capitalize, especially with a lineup known for drawing walks.

With the season at its halfway point and the Mariners firmly in the Wild Card chase, there’s a little extra urgency baked into their approach. Chicago has momentum, but Seattle holds the steadier arm and enough discipline at the plate to apply pressure early. The odds aren’t overwhelming, but there’s enough value on the road side to back the moneyline.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/06/2025 09:42

Over/Under Pick - Under 11.5 (-110): B

Sunday’s meeting at Wrigley projects as a pitcher’s duel, with both starters entering in form and both lineups limited by recent injuries. Seattle’s starter has dominated the Cubs in prior matchups, while Chicago’s starter has held Mariners hitters below the Mendoza Line in their last two meetings. With key offensive pieces still sidelined and both teams slumping at the plate, scoring should remain in check.

As both clubs approach the halfway point of the season, postseason positioning tightens and managers tend to manage conservatively, especially in a potential low-scoring battle. Both bullpens should see early use, and the Wrigley wind could help suppress long balls. With swing-and-miss stuff on one side and ground-ball tendencies on the other, backing the under on 9.5 runs has solid logic behind it.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/06/2025 09:42

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, +1.5 (-155): A-

Seattle enters Sunday looking to bounce back from a slight slump, while the Cubs carry the momentum of a 6-4 run. That contrast in recent form adds weight to backing the home side to keep it close. Chicago has mostly avoided major injury disruptions, while Seattle’s bullpen remains without a couple of its most trusted arms, potentially exposing the late innings. Even with a quality Mariners starter on the mound, the Cubs have matchup advantages at the plate and rarely let games get away from them, especially in a park where wind conditions again favour the pitchers.

With the season past its halfway mark, every game starts to feel like it carries playoff weight. The Cubs have consistently kept things tight—even in losses—and they’ve thrived recently by leaning on situational hitting and dependable defence. Taking Chicago with the cushion of a run and a half at home offers value, particularly given the Mariners’ recent inconsistency.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/06/2025 09:43

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