MLB

Mariners vs Cubs

Windy City form, home mound edge tilt odds toward the North Siders

Seattle Mariners

Mariners (37-36) VS Cubs (45-28)

Jun 20 2025 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-130): B

The Cubs have been trending upward heading into Friday’s matchup, riding a solid stretch of performances while returning to Wrigley Field. With a healthy rotation leader back on the mound, Chicago looks poised to maintain its strong home form. Their opponent, Seattle, has faltered of late and arrives with a taxed bullpen that was roughed up over the weekend. That pitching vulnerability becomes even more critical against a Cubs team that continues to capitalise on high-leverage chances. With Friday’s wind expected to blow in and neutralise long-ball threats—especially from Seattle’s pull-heavy bats—the environment further favours the hosts. At -125 on the moneyline, this prediction offers balanced risk and reward.

You can see why there’s buzz around Chicago’s pick. The wind forecast alone would have raised an eyebrow, but pair that with how shaky Seattle’s bullpen looked recently and it’s easy to feel good about backing the Cubs. They’ve been tough to beat at home, and getting them at a reasonable price feels like good timing.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/06/2025 10:02

Over/Under Pick - Under 9.5, (-110): B

The Cubs enter Friday’s matinee on a decent run of form, but roster limitations in the infield temper their edge. Seattle, meanwhile, has started to falter again but leans on a rested and nearly intact rotation, with the return of a top starter. Both clubs are approaching the halfway mark, reducing the odds of aggressive late-game strategies. With bullpens unlikely to be overused and both lineups lacking standout matchups in this spot, the 9.5-run total feels high given the underlying metrics. With the weather forecast not indicating any major offensive boosts, this bet hinges on efficiency from the starters and limited late scoring.

This feels like one of those games where pitching sets the tone early and managers play it conservative. The Cubs’ lineup isn’t at full strength, and Seattle’s bullpen has quietly held up well, despite the recent losses. If you're looking for a lean, the under at 9.5 stands out.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/06/2025 10:02  

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, -1.5 (-158): B

Chicago carries both momentum and roster stability into Friday’s matchup at Wrigley Field. Seattle, on the other hand, enters with a weekened rotation due to recent injuries, creating a heavier load for a bullpen already vulnerable to high-contact offences. Even without one of their top arms available, the Cubs counter with a fresh starter who has a track record of controlling right-handed lineups—a useful asset against a Seattle team that leans in that direction. The run line at -1.5 gains traction in this setting, especially with strong winds likely to disrupt long-ball efforts from both sides.

Seattle’s recent slide combined with a bullpen stretched too thin makes them a tough team to trust right now. Chicago’s been playing sharp baseball, and at home, that energy usually translates. With the way they’ve been generating runs lately, asking them to win by a couple doesn’t seem like a stretch.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/06/2025 10:03

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