MLB

Padres vs Cardinals Pick

Can red-hot Friars flip the odds in the Gateway City?

San Diego Padres

Padres (55-46) VS Cardinals (52-50)

Jul 24 2025 | 7:45 p.m. ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals
Moneyline Pick - San Diego Padres (+115): B+

San Diego comes in with momentum and playoff urgency, riding a recent string of victories and showcasing the kind of lineup depth that can pressure any pitching staff. Their starter has historically thrived at Busch Stadium, and with bullpen arms well-rested, the Padres are well-positioned to close out any lead they build. St. Louis, meanwhile, continues to battle both form and health issues, particularly in the middle of the order and the back end of the bullpen—challenges that grow heavier against teams pushing for October seeding.

The pick is San Diego on the moneyline. With the current form gap, matchup edge on the mound, and cleaner injury report, backing the visitors offers fair value at plus odds.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 24/07/2025 at 9:12am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8, (+100): A-

Both San Diego and St. Louis enter this matchup trending in different directions, with the visitors carrying a bit more momentum and the home side trying to steady things after a few recent stumbles. The pitching matchup features two experienced arms capable of limiting damage, and with both bullpens performing well lately, run production may be kept in check throughout the night. Neither offense is at full capacity, which only increases the likelihood of a more tightly contested, lower-scoring affair.

The pick here is the Under 8. Given how these teams are built and how the game is likely to unfold, a quieter night on the scoreboard offers solid value.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 24/07/2025 at 9:14am

Spread Pick - San Diego Padres, +1.5 (-190): B

San Diego heads into Busch Stadium playing its best baseball in weeks, while St. Louis continues to search for answers amid recent inconsistencies. Despite some key injuries on both sides, the Padres still present a deeper, more balanced lineup and face a starter they’ve handled well in past matchups. The Cardinals’ recent bullpen struggles only add to the appeal, particularly as every game now carries postseason weight and managers are quicker to tap their high-leverage arms.

The prediction leans toward San Diego to cover the +1.5 run line. With a more stable roster and a sharper recent trend, they’re positioned to keep this one tight—even on the road.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 24/07/2025 at 9:16am

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