Padres vs Tigers

San Diego enters Comerica Park riding win and swinging hot bats across the lineup, while Detroit tries to rebound from a loss and the recent loss of a key rotation piece to injury. The Tigers send a promising right-hander to the mound, but he'll have his hands full against a Padres offense that has feasted on pitching lately. San Diego counters with a righty who's been in solid form, and with a fully healthy bench and consistent interleague success, they’re well-positioned for this spot.

Even with Detroit slightly favored at home, their recent bullpen issues and a lineup lacking in top-end speed make that chalk feel steep. San Diego’s track record in American League parks and overall lineup depth provide enough upside to justify the plus money. It’s not a lock, but it earns a solid B-grade for value and matchup potential.

San Diego enters this one on good form, while Detroit arrives looking to regroup after a tough loss to the Royals. The matchup features a strong pair of right-handers facing predominantly opposite-handed lineups, with both offenses dealing with limited depth due to lingering injuries. One starter has historically dominated this opponent, while the other has been effective on the road—further amplified by Petco Park’s pitcher-friendly conditions.

With both teams’ bullpens in good recent form and the starting staffs combining for sub-3 ERAs over their last turns, this game shapes up as a low-scoring affair rather than a shootout. The Under looks like the smart angle, thanks to solid arms and cool coastal air keeping any would-be fireworks in check. It earns a dependable B-grade for value and matchup logic.

San Diego may be riding a 7-3 run, but they’re still navigating a thin rotation without one of their key arms. Detroit, despite starting to cool off after a hot start, gets a lift with the with a young southpaw, whose command could neutralize the Padres' key bats. With a rested bullpen and a lineup that has shown pop against San Diego's starter in the past, the Tigers have enough angles to keep this one close.

Even with San Diego getting a slight offensive boost from a returning regular, the plus-one line on Detroit offers appealing value at a generous price. It's a bet that carries moderate confidence but a high ceiling for return, earning a respectable B-grade for sharp underdog leverage.