CBB

Saint Mary's vs Alabama

Crimson Confidence Hints At A Strong Finish

Saint Mary's

Gaels (17-1-29-5) VS Crimson Tide (13-5-26-8)

2025-03-23 | 18:10 ET | Legacy Arena

Alabama
Moneyline Pick: Alabama (-250) - A-

Alabama’s sophomore guard, fresh off a double-digit scoring run in three straight victories, faces a Saint Mary’s squad that just snapped a four-game skid, forcing them to find momentum quickly. With Saint Mary’s center nursing a lingering ankle injury (C) and unlikely to be at full strength, the Gaels could struggle to contain Alabama’s explosive frontcourt. Historically, Alabama’s leading scorer has averaged over 20 points in prior meetings against Saint Mary’s, a trend that may continue as both teams aim to secure better seeding after exceeding the 41-game mark this season. Considering these factors, the Crimson Tide’s edge looks promising, making the -250 line worth a confident lean.

Over/Under Pick: Over 149.5, (-110) - B+
Saint Mary’s explosive guard, Jalen Pierce, is eager to extend his team’s three-game winning streak against an Alabama squad riding a two-win surge of its own (Team Performance Logs). Although the Gaels’ starting forward remains sidelined with a hamstring setback (Injury Reports), their resilience in attacking the glass is a key factor to consider. On the other side, Crimson Tide sharpshooter Tyler Givens has a history of torching Saint Mary’s perimeter defense, further fueling the potential for a high-scoring affair (Head-to-Head Stats). With the projected total set at 149.5, betting the Over earns a confident B+ grade here, promising a return of about $190 on a $100 wager, reflecting both the robust offensive trends and favorable tempo of this matchup.
Spread Pick: Alabama, -5.5 (-115) - B+

Alabama’s emerging star guard Mark Sears has fueled a three-game winning streak that puts the Crimson Tide in high spirits despite one of their forwards nursing a lingering ankle issue. Across the court, Saint Mary’s just dropped their last two, struggling with a nagging absence in the backcourt that has upset their offensive flow. Historically, the Gaels have found success against SEC foes, yet the Tide’s tough interior defense should prove vital. Considering the -5.5 line and the game’s current momentum, a B+ pick on Alabama sets up a respectable payout for bettors who back the more complete roster.

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