NBA

Kings vs Pistons

Detroit’s home dominance likely spells doom for limping Sacramento

Sacramento Kings

Slamson the Lion (38-40) VS Hooper (43-35)

Apr 07, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Pistons
Moneyline Pick: Detroit Pistons (-305) - Grade: B

The Motor City is running red-hot lately, with the Detroit Pistons riding a 6-4 run and poised to extend it against a struggling Sacramento Kings squad that has now dropped three of its last five. Detroit’s home-court advantage—having gone 21-17 at Little Caesars Arena this season—only tilts the scales further, especially against a Kings side short-handed with Keegan Murray still sidelined and Jake LaRavia doubtful. Cade Cunningham has been slicing through defenses effortlessly this month, and historically, he’s averaged over 23 PPG in past matchups against Sacramento. Meanwhile, Domantas Sabonis’ output has dipped in recent games, possibly struggling under the pressure of Sacramento’s dwindling playoff hopes. While the payout of -305 doesn’t dazzle, it aligns with a favorable late-season matchup where momentum, health, and home-court clearly back the Ice-Cold Pistons. Recommendation: Pistons moneyline, decent value at moderate risk with a B-grade wager. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Over/Under Pick: Under 230, (-110) - Grade: B

Zach LaVine and the Sacramento Kings march into Detroit on the heels of a rough patch of form, needing a miracle to keep their postseason hopes alive. In contrast, the Pistons—yes, the rejuvenated Motor City squad—are finally above water behind Cade Cunningham’s steady leadership and a 6-4 run in their last ten. Detroit’s frontcourt has historically struggled to contain Domantas Sabonis, who could slow things down in the half-court with his rebounding and passing. Add in both teams’ tired legs and high playoff stakes—especially for Detroit jockeying for playoff seeding in the East—and this feels more like a chess match than a track meet. With all signs pointing to conservatism on both ends, betting on the Under 230 makes more sense than chasing fireworks in what should be a gritty battle. Odds and availability are subject to change.

Spread Pick: Kings, +8 (-110) - Grade: B-

Zach LaVine and the Kings limp into Detroit despite a two game run, but don’t write off Sactown just yet against a Pistons squad that’s dropped three of its last five and starts. Detroit may have a better overall record at 43-35, their offense may not pack the same punch. While rookie sensation Ron Holland III has energized the Motor City ballers, Sacramento still has playoff life as they cling to hopes of a Play-In berth, which could push their tempo and intensity early. Domantas Sabonis, averaging better than 20 and 12 in head-to-heads with Detroit, often exploits their frontcourt gaps, and Malik Monk is back in rhythm after a wrist scare. With desperation brewing and the Pistons potentially shorthanded, the eight-point cushion gives enough breathing room for the Beam Team to stay within striking distance and deliver a gritty ATS win. Odds and availability are subject to change.

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