Pitt vs NC State

Underestimated Panthers poised to turn the tide against Wolfpack.

Pittsburgh

Panthers (7-11-16-13) VS Wolfpack (4-14-11-18)

Mar 05, 2025 | 19:00 ET | Reynolds Coliseum

NC State
Moneyline Pick: Pittsburgh (-140) - B+

The Pittsburgh Panthers, currently enduring a four-game losing streak, could find their momentum halted by significant injuries, but their key forward's exceptional performance against NC State this season gives them a strategic advantage. Despite NC State's home-court familiarity and recent form, Pittsburgh's experience in high-stakes games, combined with both teams having exceeded 41 games this season, heightens the playoff implications and fuels Pittsburgh's determination to secure a victory. This blend of historical dominance, playoff pressure, and injury impact supports a moneyline bet on Pittsburgh, earning this prediction a B+ grade for its strong potential and favorable odds.

Over/Under Pick: Under 142.5, (-110) - B

Pittsburgh enters the game on a three-game losing streak while NC State is grappling with key injuries to one of their starting guards, significantly impacting their offensive capabilities. Historically, Pittsburgh's defensive prowess has stifled NC State's scoring, and with both teams struggling to maintain consistency, the total points are likely to remain below the set line. Additionally, the absence of NC State's leading scorer diminishes their ability to push the game's tempo, further supporting the under bet. Grade: B – Solid likelihood of staying under with moderate risk.

Spread Pick: NC State, +2.5 (-110) - B
NC State’s three-game losing streak coupled with key injuries on Pittsburgh’s side creates an opportunity for the Wolfpack to keep the game within the 2.5-point spread. Pittsburgh has been inconsistent recently, struggling to maintain momentum without their starting guard, while NC State has demonstrated resilience against tough conference opponents. Additionally, historical matchups show NC State performing strongly in high-pressure environments, which could tip the scales in their favor tonight. Considering these factors, betting on NC State to cover the spread earns a solid B grade for its potential value.
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