MLB

Pirates vs Cardinals

“Redbird rally meets Steel City urgency—something has to give.”

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates (12-23) VS Cardinals (16-19)

May 06, 2025 | 7:45 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals
Moneyline Pick - Pittsburgh Pirates (-130): B+

Pittsburgh sends its top arm to the hill, facing a St. Louis lineup that’s dealt with key injuries and underperformance against premium velocity. Even with three straight wins, the Cardinals remain one of the league’s weaker teams in terms of slugging against fastballs, and their lineup is thinned by absences and lingering injuries. Meanwhile, the Pirates look to regain a spark in both the lineup and bullpen, giving them the tools to capitalize on an early lead and shorten the game effectively.

With the edge on the mound, healthier pieces in place, and a strong record when striking first, Pittsburgh’s role as slight road favorite is justified. It’s a B-grade play—stable, matchup-driven, and supported by both trend and form.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/05/2025 09:50

Over/Under Pick - Over 7 (-110): B

St. Louis enters on a three-game rise, capitalizing on an injury-thinned Pirates rotation that now turns to a righty who’s struggled in this matchup this season. The Cardinals may have bullpen concerns after back-to-back long nights, but they’ve still got key bats producing well historically against Pittsburgh. The Pirates, even amid a five-game slide, bring enough offensive juice to test a shaky starter and chase middle relief, especially with one of their top hitters in a groove and the weather favoring fly balls.

With both bullpens taxed and plenty of hitters sporting strong matchup splits, this game sets up to sail past the modest total of seven. The over earns a confident B+ grade with enough offensive upside and environmental support to beat the line before late innings.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/05/2025 09:50

Spread Pick - St. Louis Cardinals, +1.5 (-160): B

St. Louis enters this divisional matchup in better recent form, taking three of its last five, while Pittsburgh stumbles in with five straight losses and a lineup battling key absences. The Pirates turn to a rookie arm for his second look at a lineup anchored by one of the league’s most consistent hitters against this franchise. While St. Louis counters with an up-and-down starter, the bullpen has quietly delivered lights-out work over the past week, contrasting sharply with a Pirates relief unit that’s been hit hard in recent outings.

With tight games the norm in this park and recent meetings consistently decided by narrow margins or St. Louis wins, grabbing the +1.5 run line offers smart insulation at manageable juice. It’s a B-grade play for those backing matchup trends, bullpen strength, and divisional familiarity.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/05/2025 09:51

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