MLB

Pirates vs Cardinals

Redbirds eye another win while Bucs seek calm seas.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates (12-22) VS Cardinals (14-19)

05/05/2025 | 7:45 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals
Moneyline Pick - St. Louis Cardinals (-145): B

St. Louis enters this matchup on the heels of consecutive wins and looks to extend that rhythm behind a starter known for limiting damage and working deep. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, arrives having dropped three straight and remains shorthanded in the late innings, lacking its top relief arm. The Cardinals’ lineup has found production recently, particularly in home settings, and gets a favorable look against a young southpaw with a history of road struggles.

With the bullpen edge clearly tilting toward the home side and the visiting team’s ongoing trouble handling right-handed movement, laying the modest moneyline carries more upside than risk. St. Louis’ ability to capitalize early and protect leads late makes this a solid “B” play—not flashy, but well-supported by form and matchup dynamics.

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-110): B

A trusted St. Louis arm takes the hill against a visiting lineup that has produced little during its current slide, while the home team hasn’t exactly been lighting up scoreboards either, even with a few veterans showing some historical success in this matchup. Both offenses enter this divisional tilt shorthanded, with key contributors still sidelined, and recent output suggests neither side is poised for a breakout night.

The mound matchup profiles as a tight one, with each starter finding rhythm of late and both bullpens benefiting from rest after a league-wide off day. With playoff urgency still simmering but not yet boiling, this one shapes up as a methodical, low-scoring affair. Backing the Under 8.5 earns a solid “B” grade—sensible value anchored by pitching form and offensive inconsistencies on both sides.

Spread Pick - Pittsburgh Pirates, +1.5 (-170): B

A promising young starter takes the mound for Pittsburgh against a Cardinals team still adjusting to lineup absences and searching for offensive rhythm. While St. Louis enters with slight home-field momentum, recent tight games from the Pirates suggest they’re better than their current skid implies—especially when their starting pitching and infield defense have helped limit damage in close matchups.

With the visitors showing consistent competitiveness in low-scoring affairs and entering with a rested bullpen that’s outperformed the hosts in recent outings, grabbing the extra run and a half makes sense. Even if the final result swings either way, this one grades out as a solid “B” play—reliable coverage in what shapes up as a closely contested NL Central showdown.

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